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May 2025 Obs/Discussion


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1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Just shy of 5” since Friday night. 3” since midnight yesterday.. looks like another inch coming with that slug to our SSW. 

 

49 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Pretty large swath of 3-6” a few 7”+ reports as well. Just not as widespread maybe as the models had. 

IMG_6088.jpeg

Pretty interesting distribution. I know I’ve been sucker holed the entire event but I’m thinking I should get a stratus. I’m running lower than all surrounding stations. It is most pronounced during heavier events. 

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Here is my recap of last season:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/05/winter-2024-2025-slightly-warmer-than.html

 

ERROR.png
CAUSE.png
 
Screenshot%202025-05-05%20at%207.14.03%E2%80%AFPM.png
 
Screenshot%202025-05-05%20at%207.37.32%E2%80%AFPM.png
 
Index Value
Predicted '24-'25 DM   Value Range
Actual  '24-'25 DM Value
Forecast Error
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
-1.85 to -2.15
-1.46
Biased .39 Negative
Perennial North American Pattern (PNA)
-.40 to +.10
+1.02
Biased .92 Negative
ENSO
DJF -0.6 to -0.8 ONI
EMI: -.5 to -.7 (Mixed-Type)
DJF -0.6 ONI
DJF EMI: -.7
Verified
 (J-M) East Pacific Oscillation (EPO)/DM West Pacific Oscillation (WPO)
+.30 to +.60 JM EPO
-.40 to -.70 DM WPO
-.30 JM EPO
+.45 DM WPO
 
Biased .60 Positive
Biased -.85 Negative
Arctic Oscillation (AO)
+.26 to +.56
-.18
Biased .44 Negative
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)
+.38 to +.68
+.65
 
Verified
 
City
Predicted Snowfall
Actual
Forecast Error
Boston, MA
24-34"
28.1"
Verified
NewYork, NY(Central Park)
10-20"
12.9"
Verified
Philadelphia, PA
8-18"
7.7"
3.9%
Baltimore, MD
6-16"
12.7"
Verified
Washington, DC
4-14"
14.9"
6.4%
Albany, NY
48-58"
43.9"
9.3%
Hartford, CT
24-34"
23.4"
2.6%
Providence, RI
20-30"
15.6"
28.2%
Worcester, MA
50-60"
41.2"
21.4%
Tolland, CT
40-50"
32"
25%
Methuen, MA
41-51"
32.5"
26.2%
Hyannis, MA
14-24"
10.8"
30%
Burlington, VT
65-75"
 
75.7"
0.9%
Portland, ME
48-58"
54.1
Verified
Concord, NH
49-59"
37.5"
30.7%
 

Final Grade for 2024-2025 Season: B

 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why? To what?

I’m not calling for 40s all week. I’m just saying it might throw a wrench into things with cooler weather and maybe even a couple of showers. All I said was to watch it. I didn’t say it’s gonna be days and days of crap weather.

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I'm at a loss here.. the other day I chased a storm in winchendon and coming home near my house I noticed branches down and you could tell it was windy but the ground wasn't wet and we missed the storm.. today I took the backroads home from market basket in Athol and was driving on rt 202 towards Templeton. I noticed about a 2 mile stretch where trees were snapped and a bunch blown over and they were mature bigger trees.. we didn't get it like that here but it would of been the path the storm would have took. My question is can you get a microburst being on the edge of the storm and no precip? 

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