LeesburgWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 11 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: I didnt realize just how cold it was. Verbatim, during the front end thump it is 23 degrees at the surface at BWI. When was the last time we saw 23 degrees and +SN? This looks to be one of those "Stickage from the first flake" type storms, if it holds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why is Euro AI unreliable? I’m trying to understand how models work. Because it’s very experimental right now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why is Euro AI unreliable? I’m trying to understand how models work. Newly implemented and still being worked on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why is Euro AI unreliable? I’m trying to understand how models work. It's still in an experimental stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: Why is Euro AI unreliable? I’m trying to understand how models work. It is currently experimental 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, mappy said: Because it’s very experimental right now 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Newly implemented and still being worked on. 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It's still in an experimental stage. 1 minute ago, AmericanWxFreak said: It is currently experimental That’ll do.. 4 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Anyone know about the degree of experimentality in the euro AI? Asking for a friend. TIA! 2 13 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 27 minutes ago, Heisy said: The 50/50 and confluence was weaker/N. 6z euro would have been a bump N for sure, but it still would have been a very good hit. It was probably perfect, but it won’t matter in about 3 hours anyway. Pay attention to the confluence in my GIF . Actually confluence is stronger on 6z. Look at the 540 line and vorticity pressing southward over MN & WI eastward through the great lakes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Anyone know about the degree of experimentality in the euro AI? Asking for a friend. TIA! After all the advancement in numerical simulations of the atmosphere, AI comes along and uses the same forecasting method as Weather53. Except his database goes back farther. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 ICON looks solid 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Icon 0z vs 12z 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Bring it home! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 12Z ICON added next timeframe. Image 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 ICON very similar to the EURO in regards to the confluence over the NE and very different from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 12 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Bring it home! Not kuchera so actually under doing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Cold smoke, like winters of old. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, Weather Will said: Not kuchera so actually under doing it. Ya but that doesn’t really matter at this point lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: It doesn't get more DC Bullseye than this, all with temps in mid to low 20's. Oh my 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Ok gfs it’s your turn to join the party. 12z is rollin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Nice to have a snowstorm when it's not 60 degrees the day before. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: Nice to have a snowstorm when it's not 60 degrees the day before. ...or the day after! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Gosh I wish this wasn’t still 6 days away. Already feels like we’ve been watching this period for 10 days 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 What was the DC beltways largest accumulation since the 2016 blizzard? I'd die for a foot plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, WxUSAF said: Gosh I wish this wasn’t still 6 days away. Already feels like we’ve been watching this period for 10 days Ya but if we still look good in 3 days then usually 3 days out we are pretty solid. So basically 3 days to go till id feel like this could be for real for real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: What was the DC beltways largest accumulation since the 2016 blizzard? I'd die for a foot plus 2019 I think. Long event over the weekend. 11 inches? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 I feel like the goal posts are being set now which should increase confidence of the storm. We just have to be sure it doesn’t get squashed. Need 12z gfs to join the party now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: What was the DC beltways largest accumulation since the 2016 blizzard? I'd die for a foot plus 4 minutes ago, Paleocene said: What was the DC beltways largest accumulation since the 2016 blizzard? I'd die for a foot plus Early January 2022 8-10 inches DC metro area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Gosh I wish this wasn’t still 6 days away. Already feels like we’ve been watching this period for 10 days Lmaooo I agree!! I pay more attention in here then I do at work lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Gfs with some light snow Friday night as well. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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