steve392 Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 64 degrees at battery park in NYC. Nice breeze off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 70 / 38 gorgeous here not so much here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 Dryness and full sun aiding temps (max) vs forecast up to 72 here. Likely have the effect with lows and radiational cooling vs forecast too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 New York City could see its first temperature below 50° since May 13th tomorrow morning and again Friday morning. Saturday will turn briefly milder before cooler air returns. Another particularly strong cold shot is likely near mid-month before a potential warming trend develops. Hurricane Milton will make landfall on Florida's west coast this evening as a Category 3. It will bring a devastating storm surge inland. Landfall will likely occur just south of the Tampa Bay area. In the Southwest and parts of California, near record and record heat continued continued to fade. The heat will dissipate by the weekend. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the September run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025. Weekly ENSO data remains unavailable due to the dirsuptive impact Hurricane Helene's floods had on NCEI in Asheville. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around September 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +4.64 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.260 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.3° (0.4° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 Cousins in Stuart Florida getting wrecked by tornadoes. Family in Tampa fine. Go figure. Me? Sitting in Whitestone Bridge traffic going to Citi Field almost wishing a tornado would clear this freaking road 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 September Summary for NJ. https://www.njweather.org/content/atmospheric-180°-september-2024-recap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 9, 2024 Share Posted October 9, 2024 3 hours ago, LAVistaNY said: Reminder I saw an Aurora this year already in Toms River… this solar maximum popping off. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Had some rain drops fall around 830. Was outside getting puppy to goto bathroom and was like wtf us this hitting my awning?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Beautiful night for a playoff game at Citi field. Incredible game. LGM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 48 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Frost advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Frost advisory Wouldn't be surprised to see freezes next week with all this dry weather really helping temps tank at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Cool morning here, overnight low was 40. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWR757 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Still no rain this month, and it doesn't look like there will be an opportunity anytime soon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Almost turned the heat on this morning but resisted ! Morning low was 41 with a noticeable breeze. Nippy! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 1 minute ago, MANDA said: Almost turned the heat on this morning but resisted ! Morning low was 41 with a noticeable breeze. Nippy! I think tonight is the night to turn it on, I held off thus far 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 13 minutes ago, FPizz said: I think tonight is the night to turn it on, I held off thus far Yeah, I agree. Might need it for an hour or so in the morning to "take the chill out" as they say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Heat? It got down to 61 in the house, I can live with that. I think tonight I might get a fire going for a few hours after ~3 am. Temps around the hill this morning were interesting, I had 47°, 3/8 of a mile and 500 feet below was 42° and another 1/4 mile and 600 feet above that was 49°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 47 last night. Turned the heat on this morning. Was a little too cool for my liking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 was chilly out even my hands were cold i had to blow on them .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 i had the heat on at night for many days in a row now..i keep the window open so it won't get to warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Crazy how long we have gone without rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Crazy how long we have gone without rain And will continue for weeks. Severe drought starting to creep in 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 42 for a low this AM, coldest of the fall for me so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 Latest Drought Monitor showing the dryness and drought gradually expanding over the Northeast. Check out West Virginia. Going to take some good rains to turn that around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 40 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: And will continue for weeks. Severe drought starting to creep in It's different now vs summer. A drought now ain't so bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's different now vs summer. A drought now ain't so bad. Until someone lights a match in the pine barrens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 10, 2024 Share Posted October 10, 2024 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's different now vs summer. A drought now ain't so bad. Most experts called for heavy rains along the east coast into the northeast from a active Atlantic tropical season ended up being a active Gulf of Mexico season which has been the case since 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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