LibertyBell Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 13 minutes ago, nycsnow said: If the models are correct winds should begin to gust 40-50 within next hour or 2 and with the super wet ground can cause some problems I wonder why the high winds were not timed well with the heaviest rains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 The creeks and small lakes and ponds were in ok shape early this morning but now most are bursting at the seams. The amount of water coming off the hills is impressive considering I'm only at 2.5. Everything is just so saturated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 my house doesn’t flood, but I have to tell you I’m getting a trickles in now every time we have one of these big storms. This is too much already. We’re having this like every two weeks. i’m on the side of the hill at about 200 feet. I’m glad I’m not at the bottom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Nearly 2.2 inches of rain OTG here, heaviest of the rain is now off to my east. Currently 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Even better, tonight it will probably get below 30 here. Wonder how much of this will ice up. Still raining moderately. Closest gauge to here says 3.48". Seeing 4.02" in Huntington Village just north of here and some over 4" in N Nassau. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 3” for the day now and 10” on the month. 17 degrees this date 7 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 This band coming through has some of my heaviest rainfall rates of the year so far just east of KHVN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 4.13” in Syosset. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 54 for a high today, so another AN day. Next few days look cooler but nothing too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 18 minutes ago, bluewave said: This band coming through has some of my heaviest rainfall rates of the year so far just east of KHVN. Gust to 32 mph at my remote station at Cherry Grove on Fire Island at 4:45 PM with the line. A nearby station gusted to 42 mph at that time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Early reports so far: 3.43" at NYC 3.20" at LGA 2.97" at EWR 2.82" at JFK 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Final total 3.81” Quite the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 2.87 at my station. Winds picking up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Just passed 8.00" for month, good for 6th wettest, about 0.75" behind 1953 and 1876, first to third are 10 to 11 inches. The 1876 record one-day event was a strong low from central U.S. and Ohio valley which did a slow coastal transfer (4.25" included 0.5" snow at NYC). It was also on a Saturday (25th). Same storm produced a very heavy snowfall at Toronto (around 17"). Can't help but notice that top daily rainfalls in past cases are well correlated with hot summers or at least one notable hot spell. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 3.47” total here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 51 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Even better, tonight it will probably get below 30 here. Wonder how much of this will ice up. Still raining moderately. Closest gauge to here says 3.48". Seeing 4.02" in Huntington Village just north of here and some over 4" in N Nassau. winds and dry air will take care of most roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 3.26” will do it. Just light rain now. 10.20” for March. Brutal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Looks like 3.8" will do it here. Kudos to the HRRR for nailing the heavy rain just north of the warm front and developing band with the cold front. Still have 7 days left with many/most of us over 10" now for the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Storm total of 3.24" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 9 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Just passed 8.00" for month, good for 6th wettest, about 0.75" behind 1953 and 1876, first to third are 10 to 11 inches. The 1876 record one-day event was a strong low from central U.S. and Ohio valley which did a slow coastal transfer (4.25" included 0.5" snow at NYC). It was also on a Saturday (25th). Same storm produced a very heavy snowfall at Toronto (around 17"). Can't help but notice that top daily rainfalls in past cases are well correlated with hot summers or at least one notable hot spell. yep, March 2010 and the great summer of 2010.... March 1993 and the great summer of 1993..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 22 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Early reports so far: 3.43" at NYC 3.20" at LGA 2.97" at EWR 2.82" at JFK Adding up the hourly totals at JFK I got 3.12", LGA 3.44", Central Park 3.63 and EWR 2.86" (missing data?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 26 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Early reports so far: 3.43" at NYC 3.20" at LGA 2.97" at EWR 2.82" at JFK I think they'll all be over 3" by the end of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: yep, March 2010 and the great summer of 2010.... March 1993 and the great summer of 1993..... Another very stormy Nino March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Just now, jm1220 said: Adding up the hourly totals at JFK I got 3.12", LGA 3.44", Central Park 3.63 and EWR 2.86" (missing data?) Right, I expected them all to be over 3" by the end of the storm. Do you think this is going to be our last freezing or below temperatures for the airports and the park tonight or tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 7 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Looks like 3.8" will do it here. Kudos to the HRRR for nailing the heavy rain just north of the warm front and developing band with the cold front. Still have 7 days left with many/most of us over 10" now for the month. The next two nights may be our last freezing or below temperatures until next fall looking at the forecasts. 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Even better, tonight it will probably get below 30 here. Wonder how much of this will ice up. Still raining moderately. Closest gauge to here says 3.48". Seeing 4.02" in Huntington Village just north of here and some over 4" in N Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 54 minutes ago, psv88 said: 54 for a high today, so another AN day. Next few days look cooler but nothing too bad. I topped at 37° 2.7" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Yes those numbers I posted were in the 4:30 pm early climate reports and it wasn't quite done so your higher values are no doubt correct, we'll see at end of day but I suspect NYC will end up with third highest daily total for month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Much of the northern Mid-Atlantic region and parts of southern New England saw daily record rainfall today. Daily records through 6 pm included: Allentown: 1.73" (old record: 1.12", 2005) Atlantic City: 2.69" (old record: 1.59", 2005) Binghamton: 1.03" (old record: 0.74", 1968) Bridgeport: 3.28" (old record: 1.28", 2020) Hartford: 1.96" (old record: 1.14", 2020) Islip: 2.22" (old record: 1.32", 2020) New York City-Central Park: 3.66" (old record: 1.60", 1929) ***3rd highest daily rainfall in March*** New York City-JFK Airport: 3.13" (old record: 1.28", 2020) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 3.47" (old record: 1.44", 2020) Newark: 2.97" (old record: 1.52", 1961) Philadelphia: 3.09" (old record: 1.36", 2005) Poughkeepsie: 2.05" (old record: 0.83", 1944) Trenton: 2.91" (old record: 1.62", 1961) White Plains: 3.00" (old record: 1.20", 2001) Wilmington, DE: 2.81" (old record: 2.05", 1903) Philadelphia's daily rainfall also set a new record for highest daily rainfall for any day in March. The previous record of 2.79" was set on March 15, 1912. As a result of today's rainfall, March 2024 now ranks among the 10 wettest Marches on record in New York City. In addition, 66% of the top 10 wettest months have occurred since 2000, even as the 2000s account for just 16% of months in New York City's climate record. Top 10 wettest and warmest months are both disproportionately represented by the 2000s. In the wake of today's storm, tomorrow will be blustery and unseasonably cold. Moderation will follow. The closing days of March could turn warmer. However, the kind of warmth that occurred earlier in March is unlikely. It is very likely that New York City's Central Park will finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around March 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.42°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is now fading. Neutral conditions could develop during the spring. The SOI was +3.68 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.097 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 48.2° (5.5° above normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 29 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Right, I expected them all to be over 3" by the end of the storm. Do you think this is going to be our last freezing or below temperatures for the airports and the park tonight or tomorrow night? Possibly not if GFS 12z was on track, first week of April looks rather cool with a rain-snow threat near end of run (on April 8). Would estimate a -3 anomaly for April 1-8 if that guidance verified, but of course it's the GFS past ten days so ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 23, 2024 Share Posted March 23, 2024 Pretty good flooding around town, roads closed all over. No more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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