stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: more like drier DC south Nah, it's Hartford County S and E. I mean up in Mappy and PSU land the previous maps were still 2 to 4...but for us and the immediate burbs up to Bmore it got drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12z 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Nah, it's Hartford County S and E DCA lost .15" of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 SV maps, Thanks for your shitty service Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, stormtracker said: SV maps. Thanks Soon as CWG puts out their bullish map. That 12z run is OK but we're running out of wiggle. I'm officially spooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: DCA lost .15" of QPF All things considered...average out all these models...I'm fine with going 3 for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Soon as CWG puts out their bullish map. That 12z run is OK but we're running out of wiggle. I'm officially spooked It's in the back of my mind...but I can't say I'm alarmed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So yeah, a bit drier...last run some spots were 4-6 It's a 4 hour storm. I'm worried you and I waste too much time dropping to 33. Euro is 36 at DCA at 1 am...yikes...I think it's wrong, but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2-4 was always the goal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, EHoffman said: 2-4 was always the goal 2 - 4 was my call last night. Did I find a nut?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 42.3/22.0 here in 21057 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12z Euro down to about a quarter inch of precip here. GFS with a bit over a half inch. 18z runs gonna be HUGE. I'll need a big ass beer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: It's a 4 hour storm. I'm worried you and I waste too much time dropping to 33. Euro is 36 at DCA at 1 am...yikes...I think it's wrong, but still. The perils of being an urban dweller 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: It's a 4 hour storm. I'm worried you and I waste too much time dropping to 33. Euro is 36 at DCA at 1 am...yikes...I think it's wrong, but still. I would think we'd drop to around 32 with heavy precip no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, CAPE said: 12z Euro down to about a quarter inch of precip here. GFS with a a bit over a half inch. 18z runs gonna be HUGE. I'll need a big ass beer. If I could find another 120.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, stormtracker said: The perils of being an urban dweller gotta come up to 350-400 ft up here in Tenleytown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It's a 4 hour storm. I'm worried you and I waste too much time dropping to 33. Euro is 36 at DCA at 1 am...yikes...I think it's wrong, but still.this is one I’m ditching downtown for to gain my 360” of elevation in Arlington back. And like an extra 2 miles north. I was kinda hoping to ride it out downtown but as I said earlier I’m spooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Come on GFS… eek this one out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Familiar song and dance. Us lowlanders need heavy rates to materialize. 1/2 inch an hour rates ain’t gonna do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Seems a bit fatalistic to be too concerned over 1 operational run of a global model less than half a day from precip start time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 isn’t it time to rely on short- term models rather than Global? Back in 2014 and 2015, I remember a lot of times that the global models started backing off and then we still over-performed on many of these type of storms. It Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, konksw said: Seems a bit fatalistic to be too concerned over 1 operational run of a global model less than half a day from precip start time. If I were going to describe our sub forum in one sentence this would be it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 the 12z GFS/Euro combo would imply warning level snow for Mason-Dixon. Maybe we see a 3:30pm upgrade? Just a mindless rambling on my part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: gotta come up to 350-400 ft up here in Tenleytown Hey. Mt Cleveland Park is 300+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Wxtrix said: I've seen enough. I'm in. the dynamics look great for out here. hopefully I will get somewhere close to what LWX has forecast, unlike the paltry .5" that fell here on Tuesday. That's crazy if you only got .5" on Tuesday. Most around us reported 1.5" which is what measured as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 winter storm warning extended 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, konksw said: Seems a bit fatalistic to be too concerned over 1 operational run of a global model less than half a day from precip start time. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Winter Storm Warning for Baltimore just came through on my phone! First to cave will be Giant, then Weis, then..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The models were too dry a few days ago for many areas that got thumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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