Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Clearly sampling difference out west are translating to these morphology ...

The question of NAM's NW bias then re-enters the discussion. 

does the RGEM have this bias 

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The sweater run, You knew it was coming.

Snow to thy geese’s noggins

[Snowcrazed71]

10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Time for a pope rising from ashes meme

thou I think he said suppressed and Mild

Lol... He did have it suppressed to the south.

One thing about the NAM ... I've seen several times a day or two before a storm where it had it too far north and would correct itself as a storm was going. I'm not sure I buy this super North trend on this model. I still think it's trended north but not this far. We shall see

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Lol... He did have it suppressed to the south.

One thing about the NAM ... I've seen several times a day or two before a storm where it had it too far north and would correct itself as a storm was going. I'm not sure I buy this super North trend on this model. I still think it's trended north but not this far. We shall see

Oh totally , I’d believe it more if RGEM followed suit in 15 mins 

[powderfreak]

Intriguing.

[powderfreak]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That’s the run that draws Freak in

Entering the chat… would love to “steal” 3-6”.

12z HRRR extended looked to be headed that way too.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Entering the chat… would love to “steal” 3-6”.

As Dak Prescott would say, "Here we go".

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

As Dak Prescott would say, "Here we go".

Or since it's January, "There we go to the golf course". 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

NAM is a decent thump along RT 2.

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Intriguing.

That is like the antichrist of my methodology...shifting the JP north into my own BY? 

Eh....

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Time for a pope rising from ashes meme

thou I think he said suppressed and Mild

Yea, this is the opposite of what he implied. lol

[Kitz Craver]

14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When the model runs are good there is a dopamine drip

But remember when they aren’t there is the weather weenie hot line, we are fully staffed give us a call ..before you scream at wife or kids . We have been there and we understand .

I’m comfortably numb after the dearth of winter weather us southern folks have endured for seemingly as long as I can remember.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is like the antichrist of my methodology...shifting the JP north into my own BY? 

Eh....

You're in a good spot IMO even if you don't jack. Enjoy.

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Intriguing.

 

11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Entering the chat… would love to “steal” 3-6”.

12z HRRR extended looked to be headed that way too.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, this is the opposite of what he implied. lol

He said whiff or rain. I guess when you say that you can't lose 80% of the time.  

[weatherwiz]

I like where I am in Springfield. I told my girlfriend this could be the biggest storm she's ever seen up here. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

He said whiff or rain. I guess when you say that you can't lose 80% of the time.  

When pope Benedick is right, he’s right for the wrong seasons. This ain’t even one of them though. He clearly and emphatically said whiff/ots while berating you/Will and others.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I like where I am in Springfield. I told my girlfriend this could be the biggest storm she's ever seen up here. 

You moved from one snow-hole to another?

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I like where I am in Springfield. I told my girlfriend this could be the biggest storm she's ever seen up here. 

Maybe cause for celebration.....hitting the 40s with a box of poptarts adorned in the Cap'n Crunch jammies

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I like where I am in Springfield. I told my girlfriend this could be the biggest storm she's ever seen up here. 

If you read that quickly it can get really weird lmao 

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, this is the opposite of what he implied. lol

He had the 5th a hit and the 7th a whiff. He may get the cutter though.

[Snowcrazed71]

I'm hoping the 12Z runs settle it back down a bit from the NAM ( My gut is will come down a little from what the name showed and not be has North ).

If it does go more north, then we wait a little longer. That's all we have lol. It has been fun tracking the so far... I think it will still see a good four to eight inches in Connecticut

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You moved from one snow-hole to another?

I miss West Hartford...certainly got screwed at times, but was pretty fortunate to have three 2' snow events. I hate it here in Springfield. I so can't wait to move back into CT. 

[Ginx snewx]

Rgem bullish

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

He had the 5th a hit and the 7th a whiff. He may get the cutter though.

Yea but everyone got the cutter from like 10+ days out lol. 

[dendrite]

Reggie was a nice hit for S NH into NE MA.

[JKEisMan]

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I miss West Hartford...certainly got screwed at times, but was pretty fortunate to have three 2' snow events. I hate it here in Springfield. I so can't wait to move back into CT. 

Funny. I used to live up in East longmeadow and then somers. Back in Plainville and How much happier back this way. Work in West Hartford and really love the area

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Rgem bullish

Reggie has the phase a a bit earlier and gets that good 850 inflow going . Can really see this over Rays into SE CNE area but also further inland where snow of varying intensity is enjoyed by most 

[weatherwiz]

If Reggie nails this can we refer to the model as Mr. January moving forward?