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10 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

 

Closer to a La Niña January 500 mb pattern for the US even though it’s a borderline super El Niño. Very impressive how the MJO really shaped this pattern due to the record SST warmth from the IO to WPAC. The Euro seasonal was going with a stock January El Niño 500 mb composite back with its December forecast. 

1B888C55-CFE0-4EDD-8446-9F5497A02DE8.gif.7cb1963a1fe46e8e02e46de54d8e023c.gif

B608796D-9344-4634-8C2D-94A84C4513AF.png.d376d71128c14e559a10f6a3fd83ddc1.png

67DEAAA6-984A-4328-B9A3-FCA8CFA656F0.jpeg.2afd1371e55cbc76c6fd248ce3689220.jpeg


 

 

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Just now, bluewave said:

Similar to a La Niña January 500 mb pattern for the US even though it’s a borderline super El Niño. Very impressive how the MJO really shaped this pattern due to the record SST warmth from the IO to WPAC. The Euro seasonal was going with a stock January  El Niño 500 mb composite back with its December forecast. 

1B888C55-CFE0-4EDD-8446-9F5497A02DE8.gif.7cb1963a1fe46e8e02e46de54d8e023c.gif

B608796D-9344-4634-8C2D-94A84C4513AF.png.d376d71128c14e559a10f6a3fd83ddc1.png

67DEAAA6-984A-4328-B9A3-FCA8CFA656F0.jpeg.2afd1371e55cbc76c6fd248ce3689220.jpeg


 

 

The mjo rules the roost 

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What is really remarkable about DC hitting 80 today is this is over 3-1/2 wks. ahead of the earliest 80 degree day on record - 2/21/2018. The average 1st 80 day over the entire POR back to 1872 is 4/5. Since 2000 that average date is 3/25.

DC has only recorded (4) 80 degree days during the month of FEB, just wow

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7 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

What is really remarkable about DC hitting 80 today is this is over 3-1/2 wks. ahead of the earliest 80 degree day on record - 2/21/2018. The average 1st 80 day over the entire POR back to 1872 is 4/5. Since 2000 that average date is 3/25.

I am pretty freaked out by that 80. I know there is climate change, but wow!

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Those temps are obscene. 

Also, I don’t begrudge people for their preferences and absolutely respect them. But I don’t want 60 degree weather here in winter, ever. It’s just wrong, unseasonable, and actually truly makes me depressed. So yes, it’s dreary and chilly and wet which sucks, but I’ll still take it over whatever the hell DC is getting right now. 

I always look at it, too, like this; we have warmth, heat, and humidity to contend with almost all year these days. We don’t need warmth in the winter, because even having said that we still often get it anyway, and unfortunately often at the worst times (bad air masses ruining snow chances, etc). We often say “it just needs to be cold enough to snow,” and yeah, isn’t that the crux of it? Unfortunately the last few years, it simply hasn’t been for many events that rained throughout almost the whole Metro.

Give me the cold, always. I’ve mentioned this before but didn’t @bluewavepost last year that for NYC, seasonal snow totals correlated to DJF average temperatures, to a point? And that the higher the average got above 35 or 36, the lower the seasonal snow totals? So I never cheer on warmth here in the winter, personally. 

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6 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

A compact coastal snowstorm, briefly heralded as the Blizzard of '87, brushed by the New York City region yesterday, but buffeted much of southern New Jersey and parts of the New England coast with high winds and heavy snows.

The storm, spawned by another snowstorm in the Great Lakes on Sunday in which two people died, started off Cape Hatteras, N.C., and raced along the coast, sparking a winter thunderstorm in Philadelphia and gale-force gusts from Cape May, N.J., to Cape Cod, Mass.

One to three inches of snow fell in most of New York City, Long Island, Connecticut, northern New Jersey and Westchester County, where one motorist was killed and five others were injured in a four-car accident that the police said may have been weather-related.

Eight to twelve inches of snow, however, fell in parts of southern New Jersey, which was buried under 12 to 18 inches on Jan. 26-28. ''It's a mess,'' said Claire Lindholm, a police dispatcher in Cape May, which received 10 inches of snow and opened its civic center as a winter shelter for the first time. ''But we are getting used to it.'' Storm Downgraded

 

https://www.nytimes.com/1987/02/10/nyregion/snowstorm-just-brushes-new-york.html

 

19870125-19870126-1.19.jpg

 

just a few days prior

 

19870121-19870123-5.40.jpg

This is the one I was referring to in 2022.

image.png.178ff1b8829bd14b2aac97be49889de8.png

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1 hour ago, mattinpa said:

I am pretty freaked out by that 80. I know there is climate change, but wow!

We are just fortunate that these monthly maximum temperature extremes since 2015 have occurred closer to the cool season. Not sure if the power grid is up to the record demand 110° during the summer would produce. That’s roughly what a February 2018 and October 2019 magnitude warmth would look like in July. 
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Feb
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2018 80 0
2 1949 76 0
3 2017 74 0
- 1997 74 0
- 1954 74 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Oct
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 96 0
2 1941 93 0
3 1949 92 0
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