DDweatherman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Keaton Beach area looks to be near ground zero for the western eye wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Impressive to watch the new eyewall filling in over land rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Eye might be benefitting from frictional convergence. Donut again from Tampa radar. This is not a rapidly weakening storm like a lot of the gulf halfacanes we used to see. I think this is steady state making landfall after a higher end peak a few hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: Eye might be benefitting from frictional convergence. Donut again from Tampa radar. This is not a rapidly weakening storm like a lot of the gulf halfacanes we used to see. I think this is steady state making landfall after a higher end peak a few hours ago Yea, that fluctuation over the past couple of hours will be pretty trivial in the grand scheme of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 130+ mph velocities again. Moving onto coast as I type. They’d decreased some 30 min ago but have picked back up in NE eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Definitely a jog east from where I thought landfall might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 It actually looks like land interaction may have offset or stopped the ERC as the inner eyewall again looks dominant. We saw this with Ida in Louisiana. Interesting stuff going on here. Definitely a high-end 3 making landfall. Radar, sat, velocities all confirm this. Thank god this is coming into a sparsely populated area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Branches and siding coming off before the eyewall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pretty much as I had expectred. Looks like where guidance had it 36 hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Also, eyewall lighting is picking back up. It sputtered for a minute but this isn’t coming in much below peak at all. Major wind threat inland though from reports it looks like it will be a very narrow corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Horseshoe Beach seems to have 6-7 ft+ ongoing and is gonna be in a band for a little bit that exacerbates it. This may be ground zero for surge damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Also, eyewall lighting is picking back up. It sputtered for a minute but this isn’t coming in much below peak at all. Major wind threat inland though from reports it looks like it will be a very narrow corridor Winds (the real damaging aspect anyways) should just be within eyewall. Obviously outside of that will have gusts to hurricane force. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Good thing Idalia is hitting a low population area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Winds (the real damaging aspect anyways) should just be within eyewall. Obviously outside of that will have gusts to hurricane force. Charley could be a similar analog (though that storm was slightly stronger) as to what this wind damage corridor will look like. Extreme wind damage to very little just a few miles away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Perry also may receive a direct eyewall hit. Reminds me a bit of Houma from Ida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I think we have landfall 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like where guidance has it 36 hrs ago. Does this track a little closer to Jacksonville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Western wall looks like a beast 8am update should be a landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Lightning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I think we have landfall I agree. The center of the eye looks to be onshore now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 LIghtning in the northern eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I think we have landfall Yep, would expect an update from TPC very soon. Inland wind damage in a narrow swath is going to be severe. I guess we just witnessed history. First ever major in recorded history to enter Appalachee Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Strikes just south of Perry FL. Going to get rough very soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 7 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Does this track a little closer to Jacksonville? Will be in SE GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I figured it would end up east of where yesterday's guidance had it when I published. Just wish I had stuck with 125mph and not bumped to 135mph. I overshot intensity a bit. Was thinking more in the NW part of the county. Definitely had that jog east in guidance. Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Strikes just south of Perry FL. Going to get rough very soon Such an odd radar presentation. Completely open on southeast side. That western and northwestern side is a beast. Perry going to take a hard hit over the next 2 hours. Hope the poster from Perry can stay with us for details as long as power / cell towers hold up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, MANDA said: Such an odd radar presentation. Completely open on southeast side. That western and northwestern side is a beast. Perry going to take a hard hit over the next 2 hours. Look at Tampa radar. I’m not sure it was open on SE side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Keaton Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Look at Tampa radar. I’m not sure it was open on SE side Sorry, you are right. Not as much as Tallahassee suggested anyway. Not as open but still much less impressive than western semicircle. It has pretty much been that way at least off and on for the last 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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