A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Indystorm said: Recent SPC meso noting there could be increased storm development north pf the MCV in northeastern Illinois. love 2 hear it had been modeled but was suspicious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Hope these winds are not reaching the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 KORD office was riding the HRDPS and it looks like it performed very well with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXMan42711 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 cautiously optimistic at the premise of the northern end swiping thru cincy this evening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Northern extent of storms the next few days as always will depend on the strength and expansion of the hot dome to get the ridge runners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gobucks15 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 That bow echo means some serious business right now. MLCAPE is great with little inhibition and shear is through the roof in IN right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 82.5 mph on this station near Indianola, IL: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b30b4bfc5287a664831e9627778376be/tiles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 54 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Recent SPC meso noting there could be increased storm development north pf the MCV in northeastern Illinois. 53 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: love 2 hear it had been modeled but was suspicious i wouldn't count on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, CheeselandSkies said: I just don't understand how northern Illinois/southern Wisconsin can get a significant severe weather event at the end of March, and then can't buy one for all of May and June. We are gonna have an upcoming month one year with like 10-20 events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, hardypalmguy said: We are gonna have an upcoming month one year with like 10-20 events. It'll probably happen when we're short-staffed where I work and I can't take any PTO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Speaking of the devil, random tornado warning for Bureau County, IL. Even if anything were to happen, it'd be totally rain-wrapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 bullet dodged on the wind. But looks like rain is a miss as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Speaking of the devil, random tornado warning for Bureau County, IL. Even if anything were to happen, it'd be totally rain-wrapped. OFB accident with that one, occurring on the intersection of two OFB's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 RIJ on the derecho being sampled at 95KT on KILX. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 That rear inflow jet -- sheesh. Looks to be outrunning the reservoir of readily available instability though. Only the southern fringe is likely to survive into the evening hours. Given the strength of the RIJ, cold pool and advection aloft, might see some induced isentropic lift atop the "dome" and get some additional elevated thunderstorm activity to fire in its wake. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, SolidIcewx said: Hope these winds are not reaching the ground They did. Significant tree damage in tolono and savoy. I live in savoy. Traffic being redirected. No power for 2 hours now. Buddy had a tree fall on his house with wife and kids inside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: love 2 hear it had been modeled but was suspicious Blessed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 RIP 40 year old apple tree. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 23 minutes ago, Chambana said: They did. Significant tree damage in tolono and savoy. I live in savoy. Traffic being redirected. No power for 2 hours now. Buddy had a tree fall on his house with wife and kids inside. Jesus…. I hope they are all okay that’s not good at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said: Jesus…. I hope they are all okay that’s not good at all They are fine. Thanks for asking. Large hole in the roof. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, Chambana said: They are fine. Thanks for asking. Large hole in the roof. I’ve been doing storm work here in Dearborn and Detroit and have seen smashed garages and part of homes with downed lines all week. It breaks my heart to hear that but I’m in joy that they are okay and the people affected by the storms up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 hours ago, Chicago916 said: KORD office was riding the HRDPS and it looks like it performed very well with this Big props to that model. It's been advertising this for days. Blowing the HRRR/NEST out of the water the past few years to be sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 No power still. I have no doubt those 100mph winds mixed to the surface. Running on generator, corn in flat in the fields, curious to see if a tornado went through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Got hit pretty hard here, have extensive wind damage across the city. More than half the people are without power in Springfield, been without power for over 5 hours now and no estimate on when power will be restored. Hit here About 12:20pm, power went out just after the tornado warning was issued. Had a pretty good couplet that formed just east of New Berlin and then took a SE turn going slightly north of Chatham, stayed faitly strong on velocity scans going between Edinburg and Kincaid. Won't be surprised to see a few touchdowns confirmed if not a path. A lot of trees snapped half way up and significant damage to homes, but none leveled, in the Curran area. Seen quite a few large limbs and trees snapped on the drive home, had a large tree snapped and on a couple cars on Peoria road across from State Fairgrounds, but those trees are a bit sketchy due to the way the power company trims them around the lines. Best and worst storm, depends on how you view weather, to hit here in quite some time, i would say the most widespread damage since the 2006 March 12 tornados. Number without power has actually increased a few thousand since 3pm, was at 44% then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 hours ago, csnavywx said: That rear inflow jet -- sheesh. Looks to be outrunning the reservoir of readily available instability though. Only the southern fringe is likely to survive into the evening hours. Given the strength of the RIJ, cold pool and advection aloft, might see some induced isentropic lift atop the "dome" and get some additional elevated thunderstorm activity to fire in its wake. Rapid decay of the derecho as it pushed through the IND/LMK/PAH CWA's. The heavily modified air from the morning MCS in E. IL/SW. IN/W. KY killed it off fairly quickly. Looks like renewed development is underway across SE. Illinois, with quality still TBD. A staple off high end MCS events, thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 I'm trying to extend the dates for this thread since there's slight risk across much of the forum on 6/30 and 7/1...but not sure how to do it. Can an admin update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Big right moving supercell is going to miss MBY just northeast. I can hear it rumbling like a bowling alley. So aggravating. Just have to pray for some fill in to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: I'm trying to extend the dates for this thread since there's slight risk across much of the forum on 6/30 and 7/1...but not sure how to do it. Can an admin update? You can edit the thread title by editing your first post in the thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Thanks...I haven't started a topic in like three years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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