WXMan42711

been a long time since this verbiage was used in the IN/KY/OH neck of the woods: "THE GREATEST RISK, WHICH WILL INCLUDE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE OF INTENSE/LONG-TRACK TORNADOES, SHOULD BEGIN ACROSS INDIANA, AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS OHIO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, POTENTIALLY REACHING AS FAR EAST AS WESTERN PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA AND FAR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA INTO THE EVENING. EASTWARD ADVANCE OF THE RISK INTO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED, BUT OTHERWISE THREAT MAY SPREAD INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND THE CAROLINAS LATE."

Mesoscale Discussion 0244 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Southeastern Indiana into portions of southwest/south-central Ohio Concerning...Tornado Watch 44... Valid 142356Z - 150100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 44 continues. SUMMARY...An area of greater tornado potential is evident from southeast Indiana into southwestern Ohio over the next 1-3 hours. DISCUSSION...Three supercells from just east of Indianapolis to northwest of Columbus, OH have shown a rightward turn to the southeast. Surface flow remains backed in southwestern portions of Ohio. Considering the observed storm motion and regional VAD profiles, an area of greater tornado threat is evident from southeastern Indiana into southwestern Ohio. 850 mb winds are expected to increase this evening as well. Should storms remain discrete and surface wind backed, the environment would become more favorable in the next 1-3 hours.

strong tornado ongoing south of Saint Johns, OH

not ideal

LEO confirmed tor now.

already got some spinners north of indy

short term guidance has been consistent with the idea of a few discrete cells firing off in S/SE IN after dark. concerning look, given the projected environment at the time and the fact it would be after dark. sun is trying to break thru here and its already 65 degrees, but some possible pop up showers may ultimately temper the threat down here.

eyeing the potential for overperformance here along the ohio river in cincy

lots of squalls passing thru the cincy metro this morning. even had thundersnow reported down in northern ky. hopefully gonna get that here with a big squall passing thru shortly

cautiously optimistic at the premise of the northern end swiping thru cincy this evening

looks like some parts of the cincy metro could be spared thanks to some developing downpours. whichever model suggested a split was right on the money.

completely blue sky here on the ohio river. i hope mother nature is a reds fan

indy allowed the warning on this one to expire and replaced it with a special wx statement: Howard IN-Carroll IN- 618 PM EDT Mon May 8 2023 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Carroll and northwestern Howard Counties through 645 PM EDT... At 617 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm producing a landspout 12 miles east of Delphi, or 15 miles south of Logansport, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Landspouts, and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. Spotter confirmed landsport at 5:55 EDT west of Flora IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. .

DVN 18z sounding

two couplets heading towards stl now. good grief.

that peoria storm wants to organize so badly

Mesoscale Discussion 0401 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...Central Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 94... Valid 311936Z - 312000Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94 continues. SUMMARY...A confirmed tornado is ongoing within the southwestern Little Rock metro area. Downstream environment will remain favorable for this tornado to continue. DISCUSSION...A tornadic supercell now entering the Little Rock metro area has shown increasing organization over the last 30 minutes. As of 223 PM CDT a confirmed tornado was moving northeastward. The KLZK VAD shows strong veering in the lowest 1 km (over 400+ SRH). VROT was observed to be 74 kts. Given the environment and radar signature, this would suggest a likely intense (EF3) tornado. Furthermore the low/mid 60s F dewpoints downstream and unimpeded inflow, the expectation is for this storm to continue to pose a threat for potentially strong tornado over the next hour at least. ..Wendt.. 03/31/2023

tornado on ground, growing very fast.