Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 7am Sunday, well at least it is not a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12 minutes ago, Ji said: The worst model at 120 is depressing you? the fact that solution is even possible is depressing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, yoda said: H5 in S SC at 111 E NC at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Little toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Trending slower over past several runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Should flip to snow at 123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 H5 somewhere south of ORF at 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Welp, no go on the 00z GFS tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: the fact that solution is even possible is depressing This isn't any better either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Slower trend works against us because it gives cold air time to leave/modify 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Blue Ridge do okay... but not much anywhere else 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Unless we get a perfect deepening low track, just no cold air to make it happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Smoked lol. Least it’s still close enough to track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Maybe theres some snow not showing on the precip maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 The snow map from TT makes zero sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 i dont get it--for Loudoun the temps is between 32 and 33 the entire storm...with precip that heavy--how can that be all rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Ji said: i dont get it--for Loudoun the temps is between 32 and 33 the entire storm...with precip that heavy--how can that be all rain? Please don't ask why, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, yoda said: The snow map from TT makes zero sense Pivotal has the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Compare the 500mB, further south this run, less dynamic cooling, no snow, try again Tom! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 ICON and GFS both look pretty nice for out this way. I will worry about the temps later. Just give us the storm first. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ji said: i dont get it--for Loudoun the temps is between 32 and 33 the entire storm...with precip that heavy--how can that be all rain? Look upstairs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 00z CMC has 997mb SLP over or near ORF at 120 with the h5 low right behind it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 While GFS sniffed this out first, it’s still not a great model. As we get closer, don’t over-credit it for being first. Unless it shows something awesome again. In that case, I’ll delete this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Look upstairs i know but the surface temp shouldnt be 32-33 in this type of storm. I would of thought colder aloft and warmer on the surface ha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 Yoda is terrible at this...randy definitely has more luck when he does pbp 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 CMC with an earlier onset than the GFS...gfs definitely looks the slowest right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 I think the delay trend went a bit too far. A touch of snow now in Louisiana and Mississippi on the GFS. Upper levels torch quickly after the mid-level center pinches off. I hope this reverses a bit, otherwise we're left with rain and ZR. Shame cause it could be kind of a fun, low expectation, parachute bomb event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Don't think I've ever seen anything like this before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Deck Pic said: CMC looks a lot like GFS to me at first glance...We need a better track...I'm assuming this will be a dud here and I'll have to drive to elevation somewhere if I want to see snow - an idea a lot more appealing when the storm didnt coincide with the super bowl just find a room with a big 55 inch TV... Greenbriar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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