Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hey, even if this late week thing does not evolve correctly, the GFS (only commonly used model that goes out to Christmas) has 2-3 more chances for a White Christmas event. Right now, only the Euro sig shows snow in parts of the LSV for late week and man it is a forum splitter. I do not buy this though as to snow in the Western LSV when you have a decaying (or Wiggum Rotting) SLP in MIchigan and a developing SLP in Havre De Grace. Sleet, sure, but hard for me to fathom the entire column survives a Western Low that close when the developing low is on our doorstep. I don’t think that the final track will be nailed down until Tuesday morning. 50 miles will make a large difference for precip types depending on the coastal track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 As @Bubbler86 mentioned, even if the Thursday/Friday storm does not work out, we should have more chances as we approach the holidays. The good pattern will just be starting later this week & should last through December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Starting with some snow flurries around 8:00 am. But don’t seem real consistent. 35° Edit: 9:00am steady snow, but not laying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Had couple sleet pellets on the truck this morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 34 here with everything wet...not white. No signs of any accumulation earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 34 here with everything wet...not white. No signs of any accumulation earlier.Just started snowing to your west outside of Newville. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Has been snowing here since 6. Roof tops covered and starting to lay in the grass 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 I like: Thursday Snow. High near 38. Chance of precipitation is 80%. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Brightening up here...up to 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 hour ago, sauss06 said: Has been snowing here since 6. Roof tops covered and starting to lay in the grass Snow just picked back up here, not accumulating, but nice for Christmas mood! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 The 6z EPS & GEFS both have low tracks that will work for Winter weather for the LSV for Thursday/Friday. We still have a couple of days until this is resolved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z EPS & GEFS both have low tracks that will work for Winter weather for the LSV for Thursday/Friday. We still have a couple of days until this is resolved I’d like to see a trend today showing more offshore hits and less inland rain solutions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’d like to see a trend today showing more offshore hits and less inland rain solutions. Globals, Op's wise, do not see to care what you would like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Globals, Op's wise, do not see to care what you would like. Storm after the storm ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Storm after the storm ? There is a Christmas Eve, Eve snowstorm but I was speaking to the late week opportunity. It comes fairly close to us again and is a mix to rain on the GFS and CMC. All rain on Icon. GFS and CMC both take it near Philly which is no bueno with the moderate air around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: There is a Christmas Eve, Eve snowstorm but I was speaking to the late week opportunity. It comes fairly close to us again and is a mix to rain on the GFS and CMC. All rain on Icon. GFS and CMC both take it near Philly which is no bueno with the moderate air around. Once the euro gives in paweather will give in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Once the euro gives in paweather will give in! Bubbler is not giving in, FWIW. Just talking about what 12Z was spitting out. At least we are tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Bubbler is not giving in, FWIW. Just talking about what 12Z was spitting out. At least we are tracking. Yep for sure I knew you were talking models and not a forecast I was just joking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Getting some snow falling looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Rain and 38. So far .11" has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 The 12z GFS & GEFS are too close for Thursday/Friday for many of us especially back near I-81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z GFS & GEFS are too close for Thursday/Friday for many of us especially back near I-81. Most of the GEFS ensemble members are on or just off of the coast. Only a few inland runners this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Doesn’t seem to be much to stop this week’s storm from coming even more w/nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 No Euro posts meant the outcome was obvious without looking...but I looked anyway. Ugg. Road Trip to Sayre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No Euro posts meant the outcome was obvious without looking...but I looked anyway. Ugg. Road Trip to Sayre. Yeah that’s what I thought ugh and my goodness my football team lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 OUR football team....good and bad. Incredible goal line stand then 98 yard drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 OUR football team....good and bad. Incredible goal line stand then 98 yard drive. Why did you feel the need to post this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Pretty funny considering the blocking is strong and yet this system is moving more nw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: OUR football team....good and bad. Incredible goal line stand then 98 yard drive. Yeah it was a good stand and a great 98 yard TD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, anotherman said: Why did you feel the need to post this? It was a reply to another football post, but the quote did not show for some reason (see below). Eagles obviously did great today too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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