Blizzard of 93 Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 40 minutes ago, Superstorm said: That blocking is stout so I expect that to continue to move south with each run. Exciting times ahead. . This could be a great couple of weeks of tracking just in time for the Holidays! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The CTP forecast for Marysville has the look of Winter weather chances upon us this week. Saturday Night A chance of snow after 1am, mixing with rain after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Rain and snow likely, becoming all rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 25. Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 39. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Wednesday A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night Rain, snow, and sleet likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Rain, snow, and sleet likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 The PHX forecast for Sun City shows winter for me too...ugh Tuesday Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Tuesday Night Widespread frost. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 34. Calm wind. Wednesday Widespread frost. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 54. Calm wind. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The 0z RGEM & NAM both have some light snow for CTP on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 23 hours ago, canderson said: It’s eons away and models can do what they want. It’s happening. The pattern should support multiple chances for Winter storms the last 2 weeks of the month which should provide lots of tracking as we approach the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 0z GFS with an absolute crusher next weekend. I really like Central PA's prospects for next weekend. Big cutter in the plains gonna get forced under the block and reform off the coast. Lots of cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The 0z GFS has a very interesting Winter storm potential late next week. The blocking forces the storm in the Midwest to hit a brick wall. The low redevelops this run well to the south of us near the VA/NC border. This run brings significant snow to most of CTP. This is 1 week out, but the blocking is causing this to trend in the right direction at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z GFS has a very interesting Winter storm potential late next week. The blocking forces the storm in the Midwest to hit a brick wall. The low redevelops this run well to the south of us near the VA/NC border. This run brings significant snow to most of CTP. This is 1 week out, but the blocking is causing this to trend in the right direction at this time. How much for Phill....uh, Pillow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 0z GEFS showing some pretty big hits 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The 6z GFS brings on Sunday some light snow to southern PA with more potential for northern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Look at that beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Look at that beast . Yes! The 6z GFS again brings the low in the Midwest to a screeching halt thanks to the blocking & wall of strong High pressure to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes! The 6z GFS again brings the low in the Midwest to a screeching halt thanks to the blocking & wall of strong High pressure to the north. This is next Thursday & Friday, so this is not out in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The low then crawls up the Mid Atlantic coast on Friday with snow for all of us this run on the 6z GFS. Lots a time to go, but only 1 week away from this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 7 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: How much for Phill....uh, Pillow? Yes inquiring minds wanna know. Pillow matters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 The rest of the 6z GFS run has a few other potential storms after the opportunity next week. The run up through the Holidays could be full of tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 A frosty 24 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 I sure hope (and pray) I don't get a Flagstaff load assignment on Monday... Sunday Night Snow showers, mainly after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy blowing snow after midnight. Low around 24. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Monday Snow showers, mainly before 11am. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 11am. High near 33. Breezy, with a southwest wind 16 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Hard frost this morning 27 degrees. Sunny and no clouds. Good to see what looks like some legitimate snow threats on the model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is next Thursday & Friday, so this is not out in fantasy land. It's toeing the line between fantasy and reality. As an old Met professor was fond of saying, forecasts more than 5-7 days out aren't worth the paper they're written on. Now, this was 20 years ago so things have improved, but yeah, you get it. Either way, excited to have some real potential on the maps. Canadian and Euro have some variations of this as well. There was a day last week where no one in the country hit 80. Winter is upon us, you can feel it in your loins, or perhaps that's just me ha. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, frd said: Snap shot near Christmas from the CFS 500 hPa Hgts and Anomalies. Rejoice weenies. 2nd half of December will feature snow. Would probably want to get the outside decorations finished this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 I like the way you guys have been talking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, paweather said: I like the way you guys have been talking! The next 7 to 10 days are going to reiterate why elevation and latitude matter so much. Y'all have a solid chance to get on the board a couple of times beginning Sunday night (mostly north of the PA Turnpike), then again sometime between December 16th - 19th (could be a legit plowable event for many). I must confess that Monday and Tuesday this week, my confidence was shaken a bit that we might be getting Lucy'd, but things snapped back into place pretty quickly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The next 7 to 10 days are going to reiterate why elevation and latitude matter so much. Y'all have a solid chance to get on the board a couple of times beginning Sunday night (mostly north of the PA Turnpike), then again sometime between December 16th - 19th (could be a legit plowable event for many). I must confess that Monday and Tuesday this week, my confidence was shaken a bit that we might be getting Lucy'd, but things snapped back into place pretty quickly. Hopefully we cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, paweather said: Hopefully we cash in. Same down here in the NW Baltimore suburbs. It's so hard in a La Nina to score a clean event...but seems easier up your way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 has anyone here watched the wandering woodsman on YouTube? I never realized how fascinating Lebanon county was until I watched all of his videos on its history and ghost towns in mining areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Also Annville is beautiful....his videos lead me to take a day trip there, enjoyed it a lot. Hope y’all are having a great Christmas season and you get some of the cold, white stuff to set the mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 No time to delve into this but Icon..defintely a weird evolution of low from Mid West to off the coast. I understand the block but that is a whole lot of strange regardless. The snowfall is surprisingly pedestrian using the Icon algo that accounts for the very marginal temps near 30. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Putting this here because it's a legit ob. TWC Classis Christmas playlists: https://search.freefind.com/find.html?si=95717179&pid=r&n=0&_charset_=UTF-8&bcd=÷&query=christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 @paweather, get your GFS PBP going! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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