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November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
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000
NOUS41 KCAR 141122
PNSCAR
MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-142322-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Caribou ME
622 AM EST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SNOWFALL REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider

...Maine...

...Aroostook County...
1 SSE Madawaska              5.8 in    0541 AM 11/14   Trained Spotter
2 SSE Castle Hill            3.6 in    0107 AM 11/14   NWS Employee
1 N Caribou                  3.5 in    0618 AM 11/14   Official NWS Obs
Saint Pamphile               3.0 in    0923 PM 11/13   Public
Stockholm                    3.0 in    0930 PM 11/13   Public
4 ENE Washburn               2.9 in    0333 AM 11/14   NWS Employee
1 WSW Madawaska              2.6 in    0923 PM 11/13   Trained Spotter
Merrill                      2.2 in    0612 AM 11/14   Public
Portage                      2.0 in    0830 PM 11/13   Public
1 W Presque Isle             1.1 in    0934 PM 11/13   NWS Employee
1 WNW Oxbow                  1.0 in    0845 PM 11/13   Public
4 SSW Saint Francis          0.9 in    0857 PM 11/13   Public
2 NNW Soldier Pond           0.8 in    0747 PM 11/13   Public
1 ESE Presque Isle           0.8 in    0805 PM 11/13   Public
&&
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You can see the AO/NAO trying to ramp up on the EPS. We lose the PNA ridging out west but at least we still have cross-polar flow via the -WPO. This pattern isn't super cold, but it's not warm either. Prob a lot of chances in that type of pattern if it holds into December.

 

 

Nov14_00zEPS360.png

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9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You can see the AO/NAO trying to ramp up on the EPS. We lose the PNA ridging out west but at least we still have cross-polar flow via the -WPO. This pattern isn't super cold, but it's not warm either. Prob a lot of chances in that type of pattern if it holds into December.

 

 

Nov14_00zEPS360.png

That looks pretty decent to my untrained eye. 

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Interesting how? You say you don’t know what this means, just curious why your gut tells you that’s interesting? 

Well the Nina forcing verbatim is very weak in that graphic. So it goes into Phase 8-1-2 type stuff which I believe would tend to be on the cooler side for us. But the signal is not strong. It's probably temporary...but I'd rather see that versus an Indian ocean signal that would torch us.

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well the Nina forcing verbatim is very weak in that graphic. So it goes into Phase 8-1-2 type stuff which I believe would tend to be on the cooler side for us. But the signal is not strong. It's probably temporary...but I'd rather see that versus an Indian ocean signal that would torch us.

Ok that makes sense. Thanks for the explanation, I appreciate it. 

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

You can see the AO/NAO trying to ramp up on the EPS. We lose the PNA ridging out west but at least we still have cross-polar flow via the -WPO. This pattern isn't super cold, but it's not warm either. Prob a lot of chances in that type of pattern if it holds into December.

 

 

Nov14_00zEPS360.png

this is actually very similar to the first half of Dec 2010, believe it or not

the anomalies are of a much higher magnitude in Dec 2010, but the general waveform is almost a dead ringer

Composite Plot

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