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9 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Will see what holds together this evening as potentially some bonus rains ahead of the late Fri / Sat storms and soakers.

maybe we can get lucky with an outflow/sea breeze collision 

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1 hour ago, BucksCO_PA said:

& the Doctor who's been the NJ Climatologist for 30 yrs. Unfortunately what's clearly obvious here is the warmers are just a bad at separating their personal bias as the deniers.

OMG the tree canopy the tree canopy yet they bury their heads in the sand when it comes to the garbage coming out of Newark.

You're ridiculous.  How much more evidence do you want?   There's been tons of it posted. 

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5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

you're never going to see a summer like 1996 or 2009 for the rest of your life

Yeah, June into July 2009 was our 2nd coldest on record since the 1930s.That was the last time that we had any top 10 coldest summer months. But it has been one top 10 warmest summer month and season after another since then.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jul 31
Missing Count
1 1940-07-31 71.5 0
2 2009-07-31 71.6 0
3 1947-07-31 71.7 0
4 1936-07-31 72.0 0
5 1932-07-31 72.1 0
6 1958-07-31 72.2 0
- 1946-07-31 72.2 0
7 1945-07-31 72.4 0
8 1956-07-31 72.5 0
- 1938-07-31 72.5 0
9 1933-07-31 72.6 0
10 1985-07-31 72.8 0
- 1935-07-31 72.8 0
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45 minutes ago, lee59 said:

92 here for a high, not as hot as I thought it would get. Nice sea breeze now down to 88.

92 is hot enough.   I need to move somewhere a bit cooler in the summer but that doesn't hit -40 in the winter.  

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2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I wish every summer was like 2009. 

It was a great summer in Long Beach with smaller beach crowds and much better parking. Perfect temperatures for bike riding on the Long Beach boardwalk. Pretty impressive heavy rain pattern also along with record summer blocking.

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15 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I wish every summer was like 2009. 

it rained every day until mid August...1992, 1996, 2000, 2004 and 2009 are the coolest Summers over the last 30 years...

the coolest summers since 1950 in Central Park...2009 comes in first...2000 has the coolest July and coolest, warmest 30 day period...2004 had only two 90 degrees or higher days...The annual max could be before June or after August as was the case in many years...

year....June...July....Aug...Ave...annual max warmest 30days total 90+ days

2009...67.5...72.7...75.7...72.0...........92..............76.6.............7

2000...71.2...72.3...72.7...72.1...........93..............72.7.............7

1992...70.3...74.2...73.0...72.5...........93..............74.4.............9

1965...70.5...74.3...73.2...72.7...........95..............75.7...........15

1950...70.3...75.0...73.1...72.8...........95..............75.0.............6

1956...71.4...72.9...74.2...72.8...........99..............75.1...........11

1958...67.2...76.1...75.2...72.8...........93..............76.4.............6.....

1962...72.5...74.0...72.4...73.0...........99..............75.6...........18

1963...70.9...76.4...72.1...73.1...........98..............76.5...........16

2004...71.2...74.5...74.2...73.3...........91..............74.8.............2

1964...71.6...75.4...72.9...73.3...........99..............76.4...........23

1996...71.4...73.4...74.5...73.4...........96..............74.9.............3

1986...71.6...76.0...73.1...73.6...........98..............76.3...........11

1975...70.5...75.8...74.4...73.6...........98..............77.2.............8

1989...72.0...75.0...74.0...73.7...........96..............75.8...........16

1960...71.8...74.6...74.9...73.8...........91..............75.0.............5

1967...72.8...75.3...73.9...74.0...…….95...……...76.3...……...9.

1976...73.2...74.8...74.3...74.1...........96..............75.8...........15

 

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Under bright sunshine and a hot breeze, temperatures soared into the 90s across much of the region. Parts of the region saw temperatures set new records. High temperatures included:

Albany: 99° (old record: 98°, 1944 and 1955)
Allentown: 94°
Baltimore: 99°
Boston: 98° (old record: 96°, 1928)
Bridgeport: 90°
Hartford: 96° (tied record set in 1928 and tied in 1944)
Islip: 90°
New York City-JFK: 91°
New York City-LGA: 94°
New York City-NYC: 93°
Newark: 98°
Philadelphia: 97°
Poughkeepsie: 99° (old record: 98°, 1944)
Providence: 95°
Scranton: 98° (tied record set in 1930)
Washington, DC: 95°
Wilmington, DE: 95°

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and still very warm. Showers and thunderstorms are likely tomorrow afternoon into Saturday morning. A general 0.50"-1.00" of rain is likely with locally higher amounts. Afterward, a warm weekend lies ahead.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal.

In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around July 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.18°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the fall.

The SOI was +15.66 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.122 today.

On August 2 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.044 (RMM). The August 1-adjusted amplitude was 0.931 (RMM).

 

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Just now, wthrmn654 said:

Kinda surprised it didn't get warmer

We had a decent breeze pick up in the afternoon. We we're modeled to be upper 80's to low 90's with the warmest spots being the farthest away from the ocean breeze.

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