weatherwiz Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Potent shortwave will be moving from the western Tennessee Valley/Ohio Valley region into the Northeast through the day Saturday along with some elevated mixed-layer air. While surface temperatures will be rather cool, the presence of very steep mid-level lapse rates (>7 C/KM) will contribute to MUCAPE values potentially exceeding 1,000 J/KG to go along with strong mid-level shear. While the surface will be rather stable, just above the inversion parcels will be freely able to rise and rise vigorously thanks to the steep lapse rates. Scattered showers and thunderstorms (including potential for multiple short-line segments) are likely to develop through the afternoon and evening. More robust updrafts will be capable of producing large hail. SEVERE SEASON IS HERE!!!!!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Hammer’s all over it . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Weenies 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 let's go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Also had a decent severe storm March 13? 2012? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 I was just mentioning over in the other thread ...heh, I wasn't paying attention but this intriguing for March climate. that's not just a spiked LI above a putrid BL that slices over for 20 minutes ahead of ribbon squall... The NAM ( notwithstanding..) is like sustaining 12 hours of regional LIs -2 to -4 over the whole area. There's also a lot of more synoptic scale/mechanical forcing then coming in over top so i don't know what the metrics for this sort of thing is for getting it done. i would almost imagine EOF0 and EOF1 type strafing across the area. I'm more of an SBCAPE/'cap' recess guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 We had a legit severe T-storm in February here a few years ago. Can’t ever remember that happening in my lifetime. Would love one in March but I doubt this impacts anyone near the coast… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Down here I yawn unless there's elevated instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: We had a legit severe T-storm in February here a few years ago. Can’t ever remember that happening in my lifetime. Would love one in March but I doubt this impacts anyone near the coast… Was that the thunder sleet storm? That was crazy, we got a quarter inch of sleet in about 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Was that the thunder sleet storm? That was crazy, we got a quarter inch of sleet in about 10 minutes. I’m not sure but I remember it was warned and it had more lightning than I’d seen in all previous winters combined. Very fun event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 In Eastern MA the hail storm was 2/25/16 Ironically, one year later, 2/25/17 was the tornado through Conway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Wow six years ago? I thought it was a bit more recent (for what I’m thinking about) maybe Scott can confirm as I remember him posting about it at the time too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: Wow six years ago? I thought it was a bit more recent (for what I’m thinking about) maybe Scott can confirm as I remember him posting about it at the time too. Yep 2016. Was great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: Wow six years ago? I thought it was a bit more recent (for what I’m thinking about) maybe Scott can confirm as I remember him posting about it at the time too. 12/30/2019 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/12/30/only-new-england-an-ice-storm-hail-storm-severe-thunderstorm-all-once/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: 12/30/2019 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/12/30/only-new-england-an-ice-storm-hail-storm-severe-thunderstorm-all-once/ that was a good one too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 Morch 2020 .. 2 years ago ..ORH had nickel sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 October and March are the new severe months in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 On 3/18/2022 at 11:20 AM, Torch Tiger said: let's go TORCH, no one takes this seriously lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Thundah! +TSRA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 More TS. Really deep, rolling rumbles below the inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 When are the baseballs arriving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Just had a really close CG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Another deluge. Mo Nature targeting the chooks. Lots of flooding in the yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 Chickens are cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When are the baseballs arriving? Lol wagons North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: When are the baseballs arriving? Looks wild tonight SOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 19, 2022 Share Posted March 19, 2022 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks wild tonight SOP looks light, and mostly west of I91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 19, 2022 Author Share Posted March 19, 2022 It will be a fun evening for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted March 20, 2022 Share Posted March 20, 2022 I normally don’t consider SNE as a severe weather place. But last July I got caught driving in a cluster of severe thunderstorms with fairly large hail and torrential rains. Near Pomfret CT. This is the only time I actually was worried I could drown because the storm seemed to just get worse no matter where I went, the whole area was low lying ground and waters started rising around me and the roads were flooding. I managed to find higher ground and the storm passed before any serious flooding took place but it taught me a lesson that this could happen to anyone young or old and once you are caught in it, it’s just a matter of luck and location. In 2018 there was a serious flood in DSM IA that dropped 5 to 10 inches of rain in 60 to 90 minutes and people got killed, billions of dollars of damage. I never saw rain that heavy in my life, the edges of roofs became walls of waterfall. If you went out into it, it literally felt like standing under somebody pouring a pitcher of water onto you. I had just traded in a car to a dealership and when I went to visit them a few days later, I saw that my old car had been fully submerged among many others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2022 Author Share Posted March 20, 2022 Thunder and lightning in Springfield!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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