Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Hoth]

I'm hitting the sack. No need to pollute this thread with more debbying.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Kudos to you, dude. You were skeptical and were right to be.

I’ll wait until it’s a definite but I’m a nobody man...just a weenie making leans and hedges, sometimes wrong sometimes right. It makes tracking fun, to lean and be right or lean and be wrong, and learn from it. Wish I was wrong here though lol. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I'm hitting the sack. No need to pollute this thread with more debbying.

It’s late night homie, only the strong sickos are here. Debbie away, have fun with it. Fuk it at this point. 

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

OH GOD NOT THAT STORM NOOOOOOOOOOO

What was wrong with that?  I thought it was a great storm.

[George001]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

What was wrong with that?  I thought it was a great storm.

I don’t think he was talking the mid March one, he’s talking the late March one that nailed LI and whiffed eastern mass. The mid march one was awesome, I got 2 feet in that.

[Zeus]

18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Anecdotally, I never like seeing storms go to town in Jersey.

You could’ve just said you wanted to have a sleepover at mineses. 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

What was wrong with that?  I thought it was a great storm.

I thought it was the good one based in Ray’s reaction 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’ll wait until it’s a definite but I’m a nobody man...just a weenie making leans and hedges, sometimes wrong sometimes right. It makes tracking fun, to lean and be right or lean and be wrong, and learn from it. Wish I was wrong here though lol. 

I think we knew Wednesday night the awesome sauce was not simmering on the stove. 

Sometimes we like to dismiss models over chasing convection but it creates a certain type of havoc.

[Spanks45]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s late night homie, only the strong sickos are here. Debbie away, have fun with it. Fuk it at this point. 

Let's get that developing band on Long Island to sling up this way...

[bristolri_wx]

Slight improvement on the 03z RAP, especially in eastern areas.  That seems to be the trend, slight increases in QPF east of the CT River...

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I thought it was the good one based in Ray’s reaction 

You are in for an awesome, snowy Saturday!   Enjoy!

 

[George001]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I thought it was the good one based in Ray’s reaction 

If Ray liked it yeah I probably got the wrong storm, he got like 30 from that mid March blizzard.

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’ll wait until it’s a definite but I’m a nobody man...just a weenie making leans and hedges, sometimes wrong sometimes right. It makes tracking fun, to lean and be right or lean and be wrong, and learn from it. Wish I was wrong here though lol. 

You know alot more than the avg poster.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

If Ray liked it yeah I probably got the wrong storm, he got like 30 from that mid March blizzard.

The early March storm was a bust...not mid March 

[IowaStorm05]

03z RAP really offers generous dumps for most of us. No major losses implicated with that. maybe not widespread 30" but what are ya gonna do. and given trends over the last day... you never know we could be seeing those 25 and 30 inch populating in the 05, 06z etc if we get lucky magic.

[weathafella]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The early March storm was a bust...not mid March 

I thought it was 3/14 or something that was the great one.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

I thought it was 3/14 or something that was the great one.

Yes

[George001]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The early March storm was a bust...not mid March 

I thought he was talking about this storm

https://weather.com/storms/winter/news/2018-03-19-winter-storm-toby-fourth-march-noreaster-northeast-snow

[bristolri_wx]

Canadian and Uncle are meh.  Slightly less QPF otherwise the same distribution pattern as their previous runs...

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Canadian and Uncle are meh.  Slightly less QPF otherwise the same distribution pattern as their previous runs...

Time to put the drunk ones away.  Euro and mesos (euro is in part meso) and radar from here on out.

[OSUmetstud]

Uncle's not bad, looks a bit better to me actually. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It's a juicy fetch of moisture being thrown against a solid dome of cold air.  Should be a great storm for the eastern 3rd of SNE. 

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, OSUmetstud said:

Uncle's not bad, looks a bit better to me actually. 

Yeah meso stuff aside, looks reasonable

[ice1972]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It's a juicy fetch of moisture being thrown against a solid dome of cold air.  Should be a great storm for the eastern 3rd of SNE. 

That’s not gonna get it done for 2/3 of the Area….fail

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, ice1972 said:

That’s not gonna get it done for 2/3 of the Area….fail

At this point watch the radar and look out your window.  At least you have a shot at a foot. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I think we knew Wednesday night the awesome sauce was not simmering on the stove. 

Sometimes we like to dismiss models over chasing convection but it creates a certain type of havoc.

We did and that’s why I melted. We’ll get it next time.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Eastern Long Island is going to get croaked.

[codfishsnowman]

4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dude .. I had one of those tonight . We Treehouse 

Love the counter design

[IowaStorm05]

A good start going at this point but I would like to see this snowfall rate we have right now intensify significantly by 2 or 3 am. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We did and that’s why I melted. We’ll get it next time.

Ha, now I feel like we are both sitting in the dugout consoling each other about getting the championship next year.   Except, we're old and we're coaches not players.