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Major Hurricane Ida


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1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

Looks like Ida has reemerged into the water via Lake Raccourci. 

I really wish SE LA maps would agree on what's land and what's water.   Maybe Just declare the whole thing swamp? 

Must have been almost  impossible to navigate even with GPS.

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Jocco guy still outside the innermost core. It’s close by, but probably 5-10 miles south. Doubt he’s seeing anything over 100mph at this point. (Maybe close). But not 150… you’d have that whiteout - misty look to the wind blowing if he did. 

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Just now, wxeyeNH said:

This Jokko guy has not seen much of anything yet.  Soon it will go way downhill fast.  It will give us a good indication of what is in store a bit further NNW 

He's going to tell us that there are 300MPH gusts at this rate.

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1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Golden Meadow is about to take it on the chin, Mark Sudduth set up a camera there as well. 

This is where the gate (on Hwy 1) is located for the levee that protects most of the Hwy 1 corridor. Moment of reckoning.  

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3 minutes ago, NaoPos said:

Jocco guy still outside the innermost core. It’s close by, but probably 5-10 miles south. Doubt he’s seeing anything over 100mph at this point. (Maybe close). But not 150… you’d have that whiteout - misty look to the wind blowing if he did. 

I might be wrong but looking at the track of the core it seems like he’ll miss the inner eye wall… Ida still hasn’t turned N yet. 

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1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said:

I might be wrong, but looking at the track of the core it seems like he’ll miss the inner eye wall… Ida still hasn’t turned N yet. 

It has really slowed the last 30 min on radar. Just crawling now.

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1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said:

I don't know who he is but certainly no Met.  Just said 177mph gusts.  I'm turning the volume off but he is in the best position if you want to experience Cat 2 or Cat 3 winds which I assume are coming to his location

Coming soon . He's in the moat right now in between the 2 eyewalls.

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4 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

One very notable thing is Ida is still at maximum intensity, with zero signs of weakening, it might even be strengthening still! Check out rapid scan IR https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-14-96-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Well, it isn't fully over land yet. It brushed the coastline and is now back over water--albeit shallow. Separately, research has indicated that the low-level mesocale environment near the coast in situations like this can be extremely moist and end up largely mirroring the oceanic environment. Another thing to consider is that the part of the circulation that remains over water (including the replacement eyewall), is still able to tap into the oceanic energy. Once the eye firmly crosses land and begins trekking inland, weakening will begin in earnest. 

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6 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

This guy has to be measuring in km/h... 177km/h (the max he's said he's had comes out to a bit over 100mph) which feels reasonable.

I would frankly be surprised if he's even hit 100. Lots of stuff starts flying once you hit triple digit winds. It's very much "obvious". One easy way to tell--the deciduous trees he's been filming are not toppling over, or even swaying wildly. Those tree types don't handle wind well--palm trees evolved the way they did specifically to handle wind. He's barely seen hurricane strength yet. He will, and he will quickly learn what real strong winds actually look like. His poor estimates are concerning because as a chaser, you need to know what different strength stuff looks like. Also, he should be monitoring the nearby observation sites, have reliable in-situ equipment, and be monitoring radar. If you don't--and I say this having chased before-- you can put yourself into harms way and this isn't a situation where someone can rescue him if he gets into trouble.

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