WhiteoutWX

Meteorologist
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  1. I don’t really follow chasers so I don’t have anyone specific in mind. But in general, anyone that places money and/or getting the best video above the wellbeing and safety of others. Bonus points for those that seem to show no care or respect for the people actually being impacted around them that are being injured or otherwise having their lives devastated.
  2. You’re correct here. If it was attenuation the effect would be down radial from both radars, which it clearly isn’t. It’s a real feature of lower reflectivities on the south side of the eyewall. Its clearly not “open”, but it is NOT a radar artifact. Also, just because Dr. Knabb was on TV and the director of the NHC does not make him the world wide expert on radar meteorology.
  3. Brand new very cold cloud tops going up in northern eyewall. Just keeps on going.
  4. Staring at the last 5 hours of satellite loop it seems like the system is really struggling to make it west of Lake Charles’s longitude. Appears to be heading about 350 degrees or almost due north the last hour or two. Would have major implications for surge for that area if they remain in eastern eyewall.
  5. Hot towers really going to town now on both the west and east sides of the circulation.
  6. Interesting, I stand corrected. I don’t know why all these years I thought the cone width was different storm to storm. Seems like it would make sense to base the width more on each individual storm’s probabilistic track forecast than based on historical track error. But I guess that’s a discussion for another time. Carry on...
  7. I thought the cone width was a function of the uncertainty in the track based on the model spread? Obviously what they have is the most likely outcome but there’s a lot of ensembles in the EPS that are well west that would have major implications for areas such as Houston or Corpus for example. Just seems like you’d want more wiggle room at this stage given those possibilities.
  8. That’s quite the narrow cone for a storm with so much uncertainty in the ensembles.
  9. Are you seriously asking that question? Do you even read this thread? lol... Hell.... Kill me... To be honest no I hadn’t been on here in a few days and didn’t read back. I apologize if this was already discussed.
  10. There really have been a lot of crap systems to get us to Josephine so quickly. I wonder how this year compares to 2005 in ACE? Are we still outpacing it?
  11. They better be going directly for that NE eyewall. KLTX has been showing 120+ mph a few thousand feet off the ground for a while now. You’d think this has to be 90-95 at the surface now. Curious what they find.
  12. Several circulations rotating in towards Holden beach/oak island areas. This may the beginning of several tornadoes across eastern North Carolina tonight.
  13. If that’s the case I don’t know if all the lightning is necessarily indicative of a strengthening storm in this case. In fact, it may still point to a system still struggling to fight off the dry air/wind shear. On radar at least, it’s still absent of deep convection on the western side of the storm.
  14. I wonder if some of the dry air entrainment is leading to a somewhat less than typical tropical environment and steeper lapse rates than one might normally find and therefore more lightning? Also, the environmental wind shear can act to increase charge separation.