Bob's Burgers

Severe Event March 25th 2021

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I am wondering if that incipient line of storms from TN into northern MS will break up into supercells when it enters AL where helicity is much higher.

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TN 

 

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
649 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...  
  
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT.  
      
* AT 649 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
  PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SAVANNAH, MOVING NORTHEAST AT  
  60 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  

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1 minute ago, mob1 said:

They compromised and slapped a severe warning on this. SMH. 

Polish_20210325_194749737.png

They issue TOR warning by trial here where you have to show proof of a tornado beyond a reasonable doubt?

  • Haha 6

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They’re in the middle of jury selection apparently.

“Colonel Jessep, did you order the tornado warning?”


.

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Not liking the look of the cell in eastern Guilford County.  We weren’t expecting much from this.

And here she comes, almost a week to the hour after the tornado. Yeee haw.


.

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11 minutes ago, Upper Level LOL said:

This did not age well

I mean, the area it's in is sparsely populated so it's not like it's going through Tuscaloosa or Bham. Probably will damage some chicken houses and not much else, lol.

  • Confused 3
  • Weenie 1

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3 minutes ago, ALweather said:

I mean, the area it's in is sparsely populated so it's not like it's going through Tuscaloosa or Bham. Probably will damage some chicken houses and not much else, lol.

Like Spann said earlier today, just because it misses you doesn’t mean it misses everyone.  Like that retired couple who live a little farther out than you.

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8 minutes ago, ALweather said:

I mean, the area it's in is sparsely populated so it's not like it's going through Tuscaloosa or Bham. Probably will damage some chicken houses and not much else, lol.

Please stop and think before you post again 

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9 minutes ago, ALweather said:

I mean, the area it's in is sparsely populated so it's not like it's going through Tuscaloosa or Bham. Probably will damage some chicken houses and not much else, lol.

Was your purpose of signing up here just to try to find any possible way of minimizing the event?

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1 hour ago, Moderately Unstable said:

There's no specific requirement not to discuss ratings--I think it's reasonable to expect somewhere along path you'll see EF4+ reports...but remember that radars, unless they're DOWs are not measuring the wind AT THE GROUND. That's super critical and why you can't take "wow look at this gate to gate shear" stuff verbatim--that's what's happening a few k feet up. Friction is real, yo. El Reno was an EF5 according to DOW...it's rated EF3. Why? No structures were hit that verified EF5. Same for the Bassfield tornado. Had an EF5 signature at times and would be super easy to believe a monster that big, on the ground that long, produced EF5 winds in a sub vortex somewhere...but clearly didn't do so over a place for which EF5 criteria could be applied. This long track, fatality producing tornado...seems rather clearly destined for EF4+ status with a special wikipedia subsection dedicated to it within the discussion about the overall event. EF5 could have verified if the tornado had gone straight through Brent...looked particularly nasty around then. It may still verify...that's what damage surveys are for. In general though..remember that velocities do not tell you what's happening at the ground unless you're right next to the radar site like now, or using a DOW. It's useful to know what the G2G is, but really the better measure is how high up debris gets lofted. There's a somewhat direct correlation btwn debris height and strength of the tornado. 

This is an A+ post. As always, thanks

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PDS Tor for Summertown, TN.

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
LEWIS...NORTHEASTERN WAYNE...NORTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHWESTERN MAURY
COUNTIES...
        
At 739 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 9 miles northeast of Waynesboro, moving east at 50 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
 

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4 minutes ago, SmokeEater said:

New tornado watch issued for C AL till 1am local time.

Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
 

* Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...A cluster with embedded supercell structures should
   progress east-northeast from west-central to east-central Alabama
   offering a continued threat for a few tornadoes.

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2 minutes ago, Calderon said:

Likely tornado in Smyrna, TN at this time. 7 miles NW of my parents place.


.

that's going to go right over the race track.

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Likely tornado in Smyrna, TN at this time. 7 miles NW of my parents place.


.
Good chance thats down, possible TDS. fc2c584a4e823b1f61a178b28f5d22f6.jpg

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Just now, MattPetrulli said:

Assuming the merger is constructive, need a warning on that very soon.

Inbound velocities are increasing. Could be an inflow surge...

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1 minute ago, Bob's Burgers said:

That cell could be trouble near Clanton

If one’s gonna get Atlanta, that’s probably it.  The environment down there is relatively undisturbed compared to further north.

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