Bob's Burgers

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Everything posted by Bob's Burgers

  1. Bob's Burgers
  2. Bob's Burgers
    He's still showing some odd stuff that's for sure.
  3. Bob's Burgers
    Lots of damage in B'ham area
  4. Bob's Burgers
    At least 3 are now confirmed dead near Carrollton from the tornado earlier.
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  7. Bob's Burgers
    Yeah that's what I was referring to. Looks like there is a small area of buildings right off the highway where it touched down (plus copious trees), so there should be quite a few damage indicators.
  8. Bob's Burgers
  9. Bob's Burgers
    Basically there is a layer in the atmosphere where the winds are turning counterclockwise with height instead of clockwise with height which can screw up storm mode and meso cyclone maintenance (if it's really robust like that example).
  10. Bob's Burgers
    might explain why these storms are failing
  11. Bob's Burgers
    Tornado threat going up in texas; deep free sector convection is getting anchored with previous WAA elevation convection becoming surface-based.
  12. Bob's Burgers
    There it is. Could be our first SigTor of the day
  13. Bob's Burgers
    Probably not too far off from a significant tornado event in NE Oklahoma
  14. Bob's Burgers
    Pretty impressive available streamwise vorticity ingested by this storm using local sfc obs, fort smith radar, and nws calculated storm motion
  15. Bob's Burgers
    First real couplet of the day
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  17. Bob's Burgers
    You could probably extend that further into AR if you believe that latest HRRR trends. The Super Tuesday analogue seems less comical now than it did a few days ago
  18. Bob's Burgers
  19. Bob's Burgers
    What month is it again?
  20. Bob's Burgers
    Moderate risk area expanded, significant tornado area removed
  21. Bob's Burgers
    Reflects the aggressiveness of recent CAMS. You also see a subtle depiction of a 2ndary 15% contour in LA likely representing the chance of warm sector discrete convection.
  22. Bob's Burgers
    NSSL WRF is very aggressive with open warm sector development in two areas: 1. SE Oklahoma 2. Nighttime supercells in the arklatex area, shreveport
  23. Bob's Burgers
    More interesting observations is the latest NAM3k --> Successfully launches discrete cells in the open warm sector with UH (rooted, possibly tornadic cells) in LA. Several models have been indicating this could happen but this is the best evidence of it happening undisturbed.
  24. Bob's Burgers
    I had to zoom out to the National Level on Pivotal Weather to capture the HRRR total UH swaths.
  25. Bob's Burgers
    I would be surprised if they did it at 0600 UTC, but I would imagine a considerable expansion of the MOD would be appropriate.