dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Could this be the start of the trend NW??? The Euro Ensembles NW of the OP is really saying a lot IMO I thought you were leaving until Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The NAM doesn't leave the southern stream way hung back in TX like on the 12z run...its in W Louisiana vs near Corpus Christi TX at 42h vs 48h on 12z. I'm still not sure this will end up that good because there's less energy on the W side of the trough coming in...but maybe it pops anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hey nice EC ensembles! Actually lands on the sw tip of my weenie, instead of over my azz area like 00z did, Did it move that much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 6+....lalalalal lock it....lol... LOL, hey I'll take that and the nice trend models are showing at hr 240, but bringing down a polar airmass closer to New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The only way I can properly describe the NAM is that this run appears "more ogranized" meaning the trof not as broad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 seems like we're gonna get a phase shortly after 42 hrs...huge differences in 5h vorticity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The weenies slowly coming back to life.........as some of my landsmen said on the bumper stickers about 30 years ago..."we never lost it..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Could this be the start of the trend NW??? The Euro Ensembles NW of the OP is really saying a lot IMO Fiyyyyyyyah! 21 bun salute to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Meh, still a little worried about the 50/50 lows not getting out of the way fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 seems like we're gonna get a phase shortly after 42 hrs...huge differences in 5h vorticity It kinda looks like its already starting to phase at 42... Unless I'm seeing things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 seems like we're gonna get a phase shortly after 42 hrs...huge differences in 5h vorticity Still have these vortices around to gum things up. Not sure this run will give us what we want...can't tell yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Fiyyyyyyyah! 21 bun salute to you. i wish we could "like" things on this forum. fookin hilarious hahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I don't think this looks that great so far, subtle differences but not nearly enough to really make a major difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 LOL, hey I'll take that and the nice trend models are showing at hr 240, but bringing down a polar airmass closer to New England. I commented about that in the pattern thread...the OP run redeveloped the sfc low and squashed it south of SNE keeping the interior all frozen. Nice little potent high in Quebec giving very sneaky cold air. Could be a savior in avoiding a huge 2-3 days torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nah this run won't cut it for now, but no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 No matter the outcomes..in the end the NAM will always be the NAM at this time range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 At least the NAM tries something different every run. It keeps life interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The only way I can properly describe the NAM is that this run appears "more ogranized" meaning the trof not as broad. Not even really a debate, it's leagues better. Everything looks much better to see it wind up and deliver a hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nah this run won't cut it for now, but no big deal. you sure? pretty further west, seems like we might see a sol'n similar to 00z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It is slightly more amplified with the heights along the east coast which I guess is good but still need to see signs of the trough really starting to dig into the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The only way I can properly describe the NAM is that this run appears "more ogranized" meaning the trof not as broad. Instead of the s/w being a barnicle on the rear end of the trough it's now in the base of the trough which helps the entire thing take a more neutral position early. This isn't even in the same ballpark as the 12z and will be more in line with the GFS and EC/ENS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Here it comes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nah this run won't cut it for now, but no big deal. How far out have you seen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 you sure? pretty further west, seems like we might see a sol'n similar to 00z GFS? It's better than the 12z NAM run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 How far out have you seen? 54hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Instead of the s/w being a barnicle on the rear end of the trough it's now in the base of the trough which helps the entire thing take a more neutral position early. This isn't even in the same ballpark as the 12z and will be more in line with the GFS and EC/ENS Yeah, i just compared to 12Z GFS, trough axis is further west, though not as amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 looking better than last run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The trough still looks fairly putrid with how broad it is, but it definitely beats the 12z run. I'm not sure it had anywhere to go but better looking than 12z though...that was awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 looking better than last run.... Yes..that's the take home message. NAM normally beyond 48 loses alot of cred but a better trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 this old weenie heart of mine.....been broke a thousand times please let the model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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