Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,970
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    robrofox
    Newest Member
    robrofox
    Joined

March 17-18 Severe Weather Event


Recommended Posts

SE AR

DESHA AR-  
439 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL  
DESHA COUNTY...  
      
AT 438 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MCGEHEE, OR 7  
MILES NORTHEAST OF DERMOTT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0437 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
VALID 172000Z - 181200Z  
  
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS  
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND FAR SOUTHEAST  
ARKANSAS...  
  
CORRECTED TO CHANGE I-80 TO HIGHWAY-80  
   
..SUMMARY  
  
A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED WITH NUMEROUS STRONG AND  
A FEW LONG-TRACK, POTENTIALLY VIOLENT TORNADOES. THE INITIAL ROUND  
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. A SEPARATE SWATH SHOULD  
EMANATE FROM FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EAST  
ACROSS MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.  
   
..DISCUSSION  
  
A FEW CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE. THE  
FIRST CHANGE IS TO MOVE THE HIGH RISK AREA SOUTHWARD TO INCLUDE MORE  
OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE 45 PERCENT  
CONTOUR HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD, TO ENCOMPASS THE FIRST  
PHASE OF THE TORNADO OUTBREAK ONGOING IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE  
NEWEST TORNADO OUTBREAK MODEL GUIDANCE PLACES THE GREATEST THREAT  
ALONG A CORRIDOR EAST-NORTHEAST FROM NEAR JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI  
EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE HIGHWAY-80 CORRIDOR INTO THE AREA TO THE  
SOUTH OF TUSCALOOSA, ALABAMA.   
  
THE SECOND IS TO EXTEND THE SLIGHT RISK WESTWARD INTO PARTS OF  
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING AND WILL SPREAD  
NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE,  
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE  
STORMS.  
  
THE THIRD CHANGE IS TO REMOVE THE ENHANCED RISK FROM SOUTHWEST  
MISSOURI. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA  
AND IT APPEARS, THAT THE DISTRIBUTION OF REPORTS WILL BE OVER A  
BROADER AREA AND MORE ISOLATED THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
455 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
ALC073-172230-  
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210317T2230Z/  
JEFFERSON AL-  
455 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR  
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...  
          
AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER BROOKSIDE, OR  
NEAR GARDENDALE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
516 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...  
  
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT.  
  
* AT 515 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER KIMBERLY, OR 7  
  MILES NORTH OF GARDENDALE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

 

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
516 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
ALC021-172300-  
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-210317T2300Z/  
CHILTON AL-  
516 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR EASTERN  
CHILTON COUNTY...  
          
AT 516 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER POOLES  
CROSSROADS, OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLANTON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35  
MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LLJ will be ramping up from here on out

Instability perhaps not as much as forecast but still 1000-1800 CAPE (vs 1500-2200) 

winds backing over N MS now too

tons of discrete storms from MS into AL in two east-west lines

if storms can remain that way when LLJ ramps up..look out

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
516 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...  
  
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT.  
  
* AT 515 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER KIMBERLY, OR 7  
  MILES NORTH OF GARDENDALE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 

TDS showing up now near Billingsley

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From earlier today. Looks pretty big but the base is obscured by the hill...from what I’m seeing these tornadoes don’t look super intense but there’s sure as hell a lot of touchdowns. That’s obviously a premature observation with a long way to go, hopefully it stays that way. Anyone else think MS might of kinda dodge a bullet as well? The main line of storms is getting ready to move through Jackson. 

https://mobile.twitter.com/meteodon/status/1372299928018558980

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
ALC021-172300-  
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-210317T2300Z/  
CHILTON AL-  
521 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR EASTERN  
CHILTON COUNTY...  
          
AT 521 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED OVER POOLES CROSSROADS, OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLANTON,  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, KoalaBeer said:

From earlier today. Looks pretty big but the base is obscured by the hill...from what I’m seeing these tornadoes don’t look super intense but there’s sure as hell a lot of touchdowns. That’s obviously a premature observation with a long way to go, hopefully it stays that way. Anyone else think MS might of kinda dodge a bullet as well? The main line of storms is getting ready to move through Jackson. 

https://mobile.twitter.com/meteodon/status/1372299928018558980

We've got a looooooong way to go to talk about dodged bullets 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

21 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
ALC021-172300-  
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-210317T2300Z/  
CHILTON AL-  
521 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR EASTERN  
CHILTON COUNTY...  
          
AT 521 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED OVER POOLES CROSSROADS, OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLANTON,  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  

This could be big dog of the day. Cell has little around it compared to other ones

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Calderon said:

Clayton was missed earlier but this May hit them head on, or at least nail the exit where Peach Park is.

I think you mean Clanton.  Yeah, a late close friend of mine and I went there to the Peach Park about 3 years ago. It's a very nice spot to go for fresh peaches, peach cobbler, and homemade peach-flavor ice cream.  Greater Birmingham has been hammered by this outbreak today

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, cheese007 said:

We've got a looooooong way to go to talk about dodged bullets 

Ya bad choice of words on my part, but looks like Jackson area could be good once the line passes through. One TOR warned cell on that line but not to impressive on velocity scans. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said:

From earlier today. Looks pretty big but the base is obscured by the hill...from what I’m seeing these tornadoes don’t look super intense but there’s sure as hell a lot of touchdowns. That’s obviously a premature observation with a long way to go, hopefully it stays that way. Anyone else think MS might of kinda dodge a bullet as well? The main line of storms is getting ready to move through Jackson. 

https://mobile.twitter.com/meteodon/status/1372299928018558980

Not with the pacific front still back in Texas. It's only 22:30z. Up until this morning the main tornado threat wasn't until after 00z. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...