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About SluggerWx

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    Denver, CO

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  1. Actually, these mega swaths are more apparent on the last few runs of the HRRR (like you posted). Kind of alarming to see the same tracks show up on the 12z, 13z, 14z, 15z and 16z run. It seems like normally there's deviation across 5 runs, but these mega swaths are there for 5 straight runs! Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  2. There's another 200 mile swath showing up on the NSSL that tracks from Odessa all the way to the western outskirts of DFW metroplex starting around 6-7pm tonight thru tomorrow morning. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  3. Big spike in Velo bins in latest scan near Decatur. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  4. TOR warned cell in NE MS exploded in height within the last 10 minutes. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  5. This has my eye, too. I'd like to see some before pictures to understand what happened. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  6. Well, it needed a TOR warning for the 15 minutes it was a tight couplet. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  7. Cell in Cartersville needs a Tornado Warning. Second time today this has happened. I don't really understand their thought process here. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  8. Looks like a debris signature East of Clanton now. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  9. Echo tops in Quitman, MS near the MS/AL border are growing higher.
  10. That other driver was driving well under the speed limit so I don't blame MacLeroy for trying get away from him. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  11. Line of storms initiating in N MS along the TN border. Pretty quick growth. This is where I remember a lot of the intense UH tracks kicking off from 23z to 2z in a few prior runs of the HRRR. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  12. He went to pass someone and they veered into his lane for some strange reason. Last thing I heard was "Don't you do it..."
  13. Last two runs of the HRRR show some crazy UH tracks from Laughlin to San Antonio overnight tonight. Anyone else seeing the same thing? Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk
  14. SPC AC 240600 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A LARGE PART OF MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE... ...SUMMARY... A potential outbreak of severe storms including several long track strong tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind will exist Thursday into Thursday evening across a portion of the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast States. ...Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast States... Shortwave trough currently over the Southwest States will move from southern TX early Thursday through the lower MS Valley during the day and into the OH Valley overnight. Thursday morning a cold front will extend from the Great Lakes southwest to a weak surface low in northeast TX, then south into the western Gulf. In response to the ejecting negative-tilt shortwave trough, the cyclone is forecast by some models to undergo significant deepening as it develops northeast during the day. As this occurs, a cold front will accelerate through the lower MS Valley into the Southeast States, while a warm front initially from northeast TX into northern LA, central MS and southwest AL develops northward into the TN Valley. Some model differences do exist with the NAM being slightly less amplified and more progressive with resulting weaker cyclogenesis. It still appears likely that elevated storms will be in progress at the start of the period within the warm advection regime across northern MS, AL and TN. This activity is expected to continue lifting northward, allowing for destabilization from the south with time. Rich low-level moisture with upper 60s to near 70 F dewpoints will advect northward through warm sector contributing to moderate instability with up to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Discrete storms are expected to develop over the lower MS Valley as the surface layer destabilizes during the afternoon. The low-level jet will strengthen to 60+ kt over the lower MS and TN Valleys in response to forcing within exit region of the migratory mid-upper jet accompanying the shortwave trough. Vertical wind profiles with very strong shear and large 0-1 km hodographs (0-1 km helicity from 300-400 m2/s2) will support supercells with low-level mesocyclones capable of producing strong tornadoes and large hail. Some bowing structures are also likely. Activity will spread northeast through the lower MS and TN valleys during the day and into the evening. Additional storms may also develop along the cold front with linear structures capable of damaging wind. A secondary area of thunderstorm development might occur in vicinity of the ejecting vorticity maximum and near and just south of the surface low track from northern AR into southern MO. All hazards will be possible in this region, but threat is more conditional at this time given uncertainty regarding how much destabilization can occur. Will maintain this region in a SLGT for now, but continue to monitor for upgrade to higher probabilities in later updates. ...OH Valley... Widespread rain and thunderstorms will occur over a large part of this region during the day. However, some destabilization should occur, especially during the evening fostered by a strengthening southerly low-level jet. Potential will exist for a forced line of storms to develop along the cold front, near and south of the surface low as it tracks northeast through this region during the evening and overnight. The primary threats will be damaging wind and possibly some QLCS tornadoes. ..Dial.. 03/24/2021
  15. Cullman and Selma cells are really intense - some of the strongest rotation we've seen today. Could be the distance from the RADAR, but they're intensifying. Edit: Cullman had a good 10 minute window but weakened - no longer warned. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk