StormySquares

VAD from Shreveport had around 300 0-3km SRH

Sig tor on going southeast of Carthage, TX

I think the 12z HRRR redefined what the ceiling may be

I agree. It doesn't feel right that last Wednesday had the same probs as 4/27 or 5/24. This Thursday looks pretty impressive.

For what it's worth a 45% did verify in Alabama. A large high risk area verified for much of central Alabama and eastern Mississippi.

Possible SVC feeding into the Selma storm enhancing tornado potential.

The cells coming into Alabama be I-20 could cause some problems in the next few hours.

New PDS watch up. 80/80 props

Not with the pacific front still back in Texas. It's only 22:30z. Up until this morning the main tornado threat wasn't until after 00z.

The TOG on the Brookewood storm is literally on the 4/27 path.

Area average sounding from the 3kNAM at 02z. Downright scary.

Spann has done a pretty good job of saying the primary threat for Alabama may not be until overnight.

I'm setting up in east Iowa, probably use US 11 to get back across the Mississippi. Hopefully any sups track north of my house (Janesville). Today is conditional but I'm thinking it over preforms, especially if SPC leaves it at slight.

NAM3K doesn't have discrete cells often, but it does Thursday. Most models are showing the slowing trend, Thursday looks to be another severe weather outbreak across Dixie. Pending 00z guidance a day 2 moderate risk is certainly possible.