Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,895
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Classbravo
    Newest Member
    Classbravo
    Joined

2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion


Kmlwx
 Share

Recommended Posts

18 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

That I66 line got lame in a hurry.  Down to 78 with the outflow here.  Practically pleasant.

Personal amateur thoughts (correct me where needed):

Yeah. That I-66 line was doomed once the southern storms quickly matured (close enough to the I-66 line to rob it of lift.) They would also have to deal with the high clouds blowing northwards from the southern storms blocking sunshine from reaching the surface stunting low-level mixing, again, making storm survival more difficult. The gust front from the southern storms sealed the deal. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, mattie g said:

I was thinking the same as George BM above - that it might crumble as the first line blew up and robbed the trailing line of energy.

Sometimes it seems to play a huge factor, and other times it doesn’t.  I’m sure it is all about the structure of the atmosphere above the surface.  My 0.01” suggests that it was a killer this time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

Sometimes it seems to play a huge factor, and other times it doesn’t.  I’m sure it is all about the structure of the atmosphere above the surface.  My 0.01” suggests that it was a killer this time.

damn.  Someone got less than my 0.08"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, blueberryfaygo said:

Okay.. so my dad who is 73 years old, lives in Rosedale and who's hobby is the weather.. just told my mom that that storm was the worst storm he ever saw in his life.  

I guess we dont have any representation from that side of Baltimore county here :)

there were posts on it in the disc/obs thread from a few over that way

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, mappy said:

Slight risk for me down in Salisbury. 

I see they expanded the slight risk back west of the bay into my county as well. It's been pretty boring around here lately. I could use some interesting weather. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

From SPC-

Effective bulk shear of 30-35 kt with straight hodographs, MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg, and steep low-level lapse rates will favor a mix of clusters and splitting cells capable of producing damaging gusts and isolated large hail until the storms shift offshore by this evening.

 

I'm down for that. My yard is probably due for a miss though.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, yoda said:

Maybe a few isolated severe storms this afternoon?

   Definite competing factors today.     As noted above, the instability, deep layer shear, and low-level lapse rates are really good.    On the downside, low-level westerly flow here (which occurs when the surface low is well to our northeast) tends to dry out the lower levels and limit convergence along the cold front.      The threat is certainly better the further east and northeast one goes, but the overall trend in the CAMs for the local area is positive, especially with the HRRR seeming to come on board this morning.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...