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George BM

February Banter 2021

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2 minutes ago, H2O said:

I ain’t ever trusting a snow map again

We’ll get some snow showers today.  I think.  Freshen up the glaze.  

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Y’all remember that epic Euro snow map from last week?  The one with 30” for me?  I got 2” of that. 
 

I lost 90% of what most every snow map gave me. 
 

If I hear, read, see, smell, taste the words “tucked” “Miller B” “hail Canada” “dubstep is good” I’m going to C punt you into 1913

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Just now, H2O said:

Y’all remember that epic Euro snow map from last week?  The one with 30” for me?  I got 2” of that. 
 

I lost 90% of what most every snow map gave me. 
 

If I hear, read, see, smell, taste the words “tucked” “Miller B” “hail Canada” “dubstep is good” I’m going to C punt you into 1913

Agreed.  Would like to see C punt worked into the conversation more often however.  

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45 minutes ago, H2O said:

Y’all remember that epic Euro snow map from last week?  The one with 30” for me?  I got 2” of that. 
 

I lost 90% of what most every snow map gave me. 
 

If I hear, read, see, smell, taste the words “tucked” “Miller B” “hail Canada” “dubstep is good” I’m going to C punt you into 1913

yikes. 

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47 minutes ago, H2O said:

Y’all remember that epic Euro snow map from last week?  The one with 30” for me?  I got 2” of that. 
 

I lost 90% of what most every snow map gave me. 
 

If I hear, read, see, smell, taste the words “tucked” “Miller B” “hail Canada” “dubstep is good” I’m going to C punt you into 1913

I think 1918 would be more appropriate considering what we are living through right now :)

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47 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

We’ll get some snow showers today.  I think.  Freshen up the glaze.  

Feb. looks to be active and cold. I'm actually looking forward to having something to track every week. More tracking events = better outcomes!?!

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2 minutes ago, Wonderdog said:

Feb. looks to be active and cold. I'm actually looking forward to having something to track every week. More tracking events = better outcomes!?!

Agreed.  And even though we didn’t break any records with  this event it’s pretty darn wintry this morning.  Add a little dusting in the glaze and it’s better than anything we’ve seen in a while. 

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8 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Agreed.  And even though we didn’t break any records with  this event it’s pretty darn wintry this morning.  Add a little dusting in the glaze and it’s better than anything we’ve seen in a while. 

True true. I think we will eventually get a warning level event, maybe more than one.

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Damn. Below 0 highs next Monday in Garrett co per Euro.  Looked at long range 1st time in days  and if even semi correct  looks like fun times tracking ahead . 

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I guess I remain stunned at how some people view long range guidance. I would have thought we were all on board that from 5-7 days out the long range models in winter are useful for getting a general idea of big features - upper air patterns, the possibility of storminess, the availability of cold.  

From 5-7 days ahead of today at least the Euro was advertising the possibility of a storm along the east coast, and that it might pack a punch. It is beyond strange to me that anyone would say that was a failure because the blob of insane snow ended up 150 miles from our area.  The fact that it nailed that there was a storm in this window AND that the storm would have an impact is really quite a feat.  Even from 3-4 days out when the GFS and CMC began to catch on the blob moved around - which makes sense given the complexity of the set-up. 

But for people to spend time in the main thread being mad online and claiming that one model blows or another model blows because it didn't exactly put the conditions of a complex system over their neighborhood five days out is crazy to me. Especially if they carry a certain color tag.

If this was summer and one model showed a week out highs for the area at 107, I would assume that people would raise an eyebrow and note that big heat looks like a possibility. Then, when a week passes and the high is "only" 101, I don't recall people dunking on the model for being insanely wrong. 

Maybe this same kind of craziness arises around tropical systems, I don't follow those as closely, But I would presume that a week out if a model is able to successfully show a storm in a general area and there ends up actually being a storm in the general area a week later, that's a pretty good heads up.

In any event, congrats to our mets on this board who work on modeling the atmosphere. It is pretty damn impressive work. 

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11 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Charlottesville fringed. Next

You still have time to haul it NNE before it's too late and conditions get too treacherous. Get going now. We need to see pictures of you standing in your street in front of your house surrounded by complete and blinding whiteness pretending that you have been reaped and gone to snow paradise. Tick tock tick tock. :P

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Find you something in life that makes you as happy as a snowed over parking lot that is empty and crusted with ice like a skating rink and a bright orange frisbee that slides forever and ever like it does a yellow lab. What a great walk just now. 

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I am guessing if we do get some higher winds that there will be branches and limbs down at spots in my part of the city. I can hear the creaking of the branches now when I step outside - pretty good encasement of snow and ice on limbs here. 

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Just now, losetoa6 said:

Euro blasts us 2 more times next 10 days .We'll be tired of shoveling 

You will shovel/sweep your snow and you will like it.

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6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

 

Euro blasts us 2 more times next 10 days .We'll be tired of shoveling 

Sure. So tired. Can barely move right now

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