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George BM

February Discobs 2021

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1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:

 

Time sensitive but what the heck is the radar picking up heading towards DC? Straight trajectory from the ESE. 

Mostly kidding but what causes that? Also oops for initially putting this in the wrong thread.

That's probably the sunrise.

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Picked up a half inch of snow last night before it flipped to sleet

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Guidance not as warm up here today and tomorrow as recently modeled . 40s today and struggling to hit 40-42 tomorrow.  The warmest air sags below i70 later this evening. Tomorrow the warmest air well south of even DC

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5 minutes ago, mappy said:

Picked up a half inch of snow last night before it flipped to sleet

Had 1 band drop another 1/2" around 11pm or so  last night before the flip.  Had around an inch on most surfaces.  Around 1/4" on asphalt at the height.  Temp barely budging here . Still 1/2" when I got up this am.

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13 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Warm air staying away from here so far.  55 in Elkins, 50 in Front Royal, 45 in Winchester.  39 and foggy in my yard.  Forecast high is 57.

Seems like every mini torch all season has been muted . Mby finally hit 50 for the 1st time since early December this past week.  Took the GN out for a cruise too but it's still winter and if the last 5 weeks are any indicator there will be more chances ahead .

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Seems like every mini torch all season has been muted . Mby finally hit 50 for the 1st time since early December this past week.  Took the GN out for a cruise too but it's still winter and if the last 5 weeks are any indicator there will be more chances ahead .

Same could be said for every cold shot modeled this winter. It hasn’t been a torch winter even in the cities by any means but the cold really never showed up as modeled either. 

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9 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Same could be said for every cold shot modeled this winter. It hasn’t been a torch winter even in the cities by any means but the cold really never showed up as modeled either. 

Absolutely. Was never able to push east of the Appalachians. Base of trough just stayed a bit west and I guess southeast ridge helped. We were modeled for some pretty intense cold throughout mid to late Jan and into early feb that never showed up. 

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12 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Absolutely. Was never able to push east of the Appalachians. Base of trough just stayed a bit west and I guess southeast ridge helped. We were modeled for some pretty intense cold throughout mid to late Jan and into early feb that never showed up. 

Oh it showed up. The TPV location just ruined it for our area and kept it over the plains and upper mid west. Chicago has been very cold for almost 2 months and that cold in Texas that broke their infrastructure was modeled to be ours a week beforehand.
 

The lack of snow in the dc bal metros isn’t that simple however. If that dominating Arctic air did take aim at us instead of the Plains, we wouldn’t have had storm take track after track to our SE. Suppression would have been the name of the game and we would have said congrats to Richmond and the Carolinas all season long. 
 

Nothing ever quite timed up correctly this year. It’s a shame - because it had the opportunity to be an epic Niña winter. 

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27 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Same could be said for every cold shot modeled this winter. It hasn’t been a torch winter even in the cities by any means but the cold really never showed up as modeled either. 

The cold is always over modeled every winter year but torches ALWAYS seem to be dead on accurate in my experience :lol:

There's been " cold enough " air around most of the winter as evidence of all the winter weather in southern regions this year....and north and west for that matter 

but agree no big Artic outbreaks in the east this season for sure . 

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12 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Oh it showed up. The TPV location just ruined it for our area and kept it over the plains and upper mid west. Chicago has been very cold for almost 2 months and that cold in Texas that broke their infrastructure was modeled to be ours a week beforehand.
 

The lack of snow in the dc bal metros isn’t that simple however. If that dominating Arctic air did take aim at us instead of the Plains, we wouldn’t have had storm take track after track to our SE. Suppression would have been the name of the game and we would have said congrats to Richmond and the Carolinas all season long. 
 

Nothing ever quite timed up correctly this year. It’s a shame - because it had the opportunity to be an epic Niña winter. 

Bolded I'm confused lol . Maby I'm misunderstanding you.

The past 4 weeks here has been the snowiest stretch since my family moved here in 88 that I can remember as far as frequency.  It's been storm after storm with hit after hit ( light, moderate)for much of the mid Atlantic.  Some areas ( DC,Bmore, S.Md )just had horrific luck unfortunately locally. 

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3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Bolded I'm confused lol

The past 4 weeks here has been the snowiest stretch since my family moved here in 88 that I can remember as far as frequency.  It's been storm after storm with hit after hit ( light, moderate)for much of the mid Atlantic.  Some areas just had horrific luck unfortunately locally. 

I think the point just was it was a slop fest for most of us. We just couldn’t get the cold and moisture to time up for a nice pure snow. I understand y’all did well up there but south + east of the fall line, not so much. We were either too warm, or didn’t get the banding necessary to get good rates + moisture. 

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First Saturday in a while that Meadowood regional park off falls rd has had a nice crowd in a while. Despite the pretty muddy conditions, lots of kids practicing sports and a fair amount of walkers too. Spring fever has definitely hit

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Looks like a potentially significant flooding event for W Md and the high ground of eastern WV tomorrow.  Couple inches of rain and temps in the 50's with all the liquid contained in that snowpack is gonna raise the rivers and creeks dramatically.  Good day to chase waterfalls, but hopefully not a bad one for some of those valley towns.  From the FFW:. 

...Periods of moderate to heavy rain may fall on a deep primed snowpack leading to increasing melt. Flows in rivers may increase quickly and reach critical levels...

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44 with light rain.

Need an underperformer here. My driveway is sunken muck.

I wont be mad if the upcoming week into next weekend ends up cold and dry, with some wind. We always do wind well, but even that has been lacking lately.

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23 minutes ago, CAPE said:

44 with light rain.

Need an underperformer here. My driveway is sunken muck.

I wont be mad if the upcoming week into next weekend ends up cold and dry, with some wind. We always do wind well, but even that has been lacking lately.

Gonna be a soggy day for sure. Shouldn’t get any crazy heavy rain but varying showers all day. Definitely a day to maybe sit inside at the brewery and have a couple of good stouts while it’s still stout season:D

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4 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Gonna be a soggy day for sure. Shouldn’t get any crazy heavy rain but varying showers all day. Definitely a day to maybe sit inside at the brewery and have a couple of good stouts while it’s still stout season:D

I will be into this in a few hours.

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I will be into this in a few hours.

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Nice. Haven’t had that one yet but I had the chocolate land 1 and 2. They weren’t bad. I hear this one is better though 

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