yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn..Dallas is getting destroyed on the GFS at 126 or so. If that ends up as rain for us, I am going to become unraveled. The cold press is better for us this run Monster sleet in N LA While its 14 degrees... wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn..Dallas is getting destroyed on the GFS at 126 or so. If that ends up as rain for us, I am going to become unraveled. The cold press is better for us this run Looks like a banana like H on the GFS and a 1010 low in the gulf. Let's see how this fails. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 mmm... i like banana highs at 144 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looks like a banana like H on the GFS and a 1010 low in the gulf. Let's see how this fails.Lol at 144 we at 10 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, yoda said: mmm... i like banana highs at 144 Looking at the GFS at 147, don't think it's gonna hold/save us (for all snow at least). WInding up that low like the Euro did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looks like a banana like H on the GFS and a 1010 low in the gulf. Let's see how this fails.Amazing fail but we did it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Nice wedge at 150. we're in the mid 20's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 lol sleet bomb through 156 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looks like a banana like H on the GFS and a 1010 low in the gulf. Let's see how this fails. Amazing fail but we did it! Eh, we kinda knew it wasn't going to be snow. I mean like a complete fail where it's like 60 and raining. This one has good potential to trend favorably 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Eh, we kinda knew it wasn't going to be snow. I mean like a complete fail where it's like 60 and raining. This one has good potential to trend favorably I'll just take the PARA and call it a morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 There's the rain..162. Kinda Amazed that we have strong CAD etc and storm just blasts through. Yes, I know it's meteorologically possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: There's the rain..162. Kinda Amazed that we have strong CAD etc and storm just blasts through. Yes, I know it's meteorologically possible its light as dry slot comes racing through... pretty much sleet bomb to freezing rain to drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Para ftmfw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Para ftmfw At 150 its tight... but its 23 and RIPPING snow at DCA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Para ftmfw Looks like they fixed it after 5 days in the garage 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 The general issues with next week are the trough axis to our west, and the h5 height configuration to our NE. Euro/EPS has a deeper trough and a bit negative/w stronger ridging out in front, and the NA vortex is a bit further NE. More opportunity for a primary to track to our west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6z Para has a snowstorm for us Saturday and another one Tuesday. Euro looks like mixed or rain for both. Let's go para! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Honestly thinking that this is the last chance at getting lucky for while in terms of significant area wide snowfall in areas that have missed most of the pathetic snow this season so far. . Hopefully changes with the TPV take place in the days ahead and the Euro OP track may trend more Southward in time . EPS is starting to hint at that. Certainly according to some, including HM the crazy situation out West may cause last minute model swings downstream and effect storm evolution even at short range. I mean really, - 6 AO and all that arctic cold. I am not interested in ice or snow to rain. I want an all snow event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 For the Saturday storm Nam is mighty close to starting as snow for a lot of people, and colder than other guidance. I know nam at range but it seems to be sniffing the warm nose out for tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I am never sweating the Euro again. It got schooled again with tonight and the Friday event by the American models. The NAM is a serious sleet bomb for Saturday. .5 QPF as sleet for just about all of us. I have no idea what that would work out to in depth? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Are we tracking next weekend's disappointment yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am never sweating the Euro again. It got schooled again with tonight and the Friday event by the American models. The NAM is a serious sleet bomb for Saturday. .5 QPF as sleet for just about all of us. I have no idea what that would work out to in depth? I think sleet is often in the 3-1 range.....so call it 1.5" of sleet ftw! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Icon is all snow north of DC for the weekend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Icon is all snow north of DC for the weekend. the weekend storm made the most sense to be all snow since it is the coldest of the 3 waves lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 The Saturday storm is cold on the GFS low-mid 20s.....but its really dry. A mix of sleet, FRZR, and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Is anybody realizing that what I said in about November is true. Modeled Arctic air just simply (rarely) cannot make it south and east in a Nina? The time frame usually 8-10 days. Then it collapses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Is anybody realizing that what I said in about November is true. Modeled Arctic air just simply (rarely) cannot make it south and east in a Nina? The time frame usually 8-10 days. Then it collapses. So it's not going to be -9 in DC on Monday morning? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, nj2va said: So it's not going to be -9 in DC on Monday morning? I’m gonna say no 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: So it's not going to be -9 in DC on Monday morning? Recall there was actually quite a bit of decent consensus from the ensembles that decent cold was coming but now it really doesn't look that great, most of the cold is out West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m gonna say no I want my snow squalls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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