paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 22 minutes ago, CoralRed said: As the official shoveler I was wondering the same thing, especially as the totals have gone up. What does everyone think? Thanks. Light this is not a wet snowstorm. Dry air ahead of this. But if we get feet of snow than you may think it will be wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I think @paweather @pasnownut @AllWeather would need a cigarette if the RGEM verified. I would rather a cigar please? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Seriously, RGEM? TT finally got past 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 shit. these look beautiful. all those pretty colors. help me out, still mid morning start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 At 1z on Wednesday the low finally moves away. Millville light me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS is a smaller mauling (than the Rgem) for the Eastern LSV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Seriously, RGEM? TT finally got past 30. Always seems to come out faster here https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013018&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 33 minutes ago, paweather5 said: Awesome ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS is a smaller mauling (than the Rgem) for the Eastern LSV Yes it is no doubt. the Camps now is a smaller mauling versus a monster. I'll take either but at least we have consistency is something big happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gfs looks really really good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Always seems to come out faster here https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013018&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= Thanks I use Pivot for the EURO. I'll need to use it more than TT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Thanks I use Pivot for the EURO. I'll need to use it more than TT. Funny you say that, I just switch to pivotal for GFS. It is faster.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 That might be the best the GFS has looked overall for our region with this storm. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Can we just discredit the 18z NAM, probably not, but wow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, MAG5035 said: That might be the best the GFS has looked overall for our region with this storm. 2” band of qpf is nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Gfs looks really really good. Yes, that’s for sure! CCB going to town! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS absolutey obliterates us! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 So this must mean the GFS/EURO rule exists now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 It's time guys, I did the thing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 So should we expect closer to the Kuchera totals or ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, pawatch said: And we just got bumped Now thats a confidence booster. Just looked at the 18z GFS and it looks better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 42 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I think @paweather @pasnownut @AllWeather would need a cigarette if the RGEM verified. A cigar and a glass of Johnnie Walker Blue Label, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 South Central PA along and east of the LSV has been bullseyed pretty consistently over the last few model runs. I'm barely in CTP territory (three miles west of Chester County line) but feeling really good for all of us out here. The large margin for error helps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Mshaffer526 said: South Central PA along and east of the LSV has been bullseyed pretty consistently over the last few model runs. I'm barely in CTP territory (three miles west of Chester County line) but feeling really good for all of us out here. The large margin for error helps. I'm really happy you're posting here. You live in an area where we don't have any posters. I always enjoy reading your posts on Philly weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm really happy you're posting here. You live in an area where we don't have any posters. I always enjoy reading your posts on Philly weather. Thanks! Yeah, I'm in that weird no man's land between the two climo areas. I always love calling my reports into CTP, I might as well be reporting from the Moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cfbaggett Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just a couple of thoughts: 1) I am in awe at the duration of this event. Usually these storms last 9 to 15 hours and done. 48 hours or longer for this one? The end time of this storm is still pretty deep into the model integrations, so there could still be significant error in the models for the second half of the storm. 2) It wouldn't surprise if the heaviest totals end up north and west of currently advertised, as they did significantly with the December storm. First, the models seem to be trending toward tucking the low tighter and tighter into the Delmarva. That makes sense for baroclinic reasons. Second, I have a hypothesis that the models do not advect snow as it falls through the column. It just piles the precipitation up where it falls from the cloud. Assuming the snow falls 1000 m from cloud base at a downward velocity of 1 m/s in a background wind of 20 m/s, the snow could easily be blown 20 km to the west as it falls in the strong easterly winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Holy. Crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, anotherman said: Holy. Crap. That does include today's storm so for the LSV its a 10-20" total for next weekend. Just thought I would post the full run total for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now