Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[sbnwx85]

36 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Today's 12z Euro.  (cue the sad trombone)

Woof. I at least had some hopes for lake effect before this run. Congrats North Carolina, I guess.

[Snowstorms]

The Euro did a 500 mile shift in one run. And they say the GFS is bad. 

[Hoosier]

What?!  We never get the rug pulled out on phasing progged in the med-long range.

[CheeselandSkies]

20 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

What?!  We always get the rug pulled out on phasing progged in the med-long range.

FIFY.

[Cary67]

25 minutes ago, Snowstorms said:

The Euro did a 500 mile shift in one run. And they say the GFS is bad. 

Until the overwhelming majority of models show it within 100 hrs assume it will be a non event.

[SchaumburgStormer]

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

What?!  We never get the rug pulled out on phasing progged in the med-long range.

Last year we even got the rug yanked in the extreme short range. Fun times. I will take long range vanishing snowstorms over storms going strung out garbage 18 hours before onset. 

 

[purduewx80]

lol

[Gino27]

Today's models like to come in hot with the cold to start next week off. Question will be whether or not there's anything for it to phase with or if most of us will stay dry.

[Malacka11]

Surprised that none of the OV posters have mentioned that actually all three big models (GFS, EURO, CMC) have at least something that could end up as a storm for the eastern half of the sub forum. 

[StormfanaticInd]

15 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Surprised that none of the OV posters have mentioned that actually all three big models (GFS, EURO, CMC) have at least something that could end up as a storm for the eastern half of the sub forum. 

I want to see another set of runs first. Lol

[StormfanaticInd]

The pattern after looks interesting too. Looks like el nino. 

[Gino27]

3 hours ago, Malacka11 said:

Surprised that none of the OV posters have mentioned that actually all three big models (GFS, EURO, CMC) have at least something that could end up as a storm for the eastern half of the sub forum. 

My superstition runs deep 

[IWXwx]

4 hours ago, Malacka11 said:

Surprised that none of the OV posters have mentioned that actually all three big models (GFS, EURO, CMC) have at least something that could end up as a storm for the eastern half of the sub forum. 

Ohio posters are kind of jaded, as they've had Lucy jerk the ball back too many times to be excited.

[Frog Town]

Something thread worthy for eastern parts of the sub could be in it's infancy stages....

[Gino27]

5 hours ago, IWXwx said:

Ohio posters are kind of jaded, as they've had Lucy jerk the ball back too many times to be excited.

Yeah it's bad. The last 5 or so years have been pretty comical at times. Outside of northern parts of the state we always find a way into the screw zone.

[pondo1000]

1 hour ago, Frog Town said:

Something thread worthy for eastern parts of the sub could be in it's infancy stages....

Believe it when I see it

[Malacka11]

I, for one, have actually not given up quite yet on this baby moving back west

[hawkeye_wx]

It's back on the Euro

[A-L-E-K]

lol, nice phase and solid hit here

 

 

[schoeppeya]

15 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

It's back on the Euro

Ill just go ahead and lock that in.

[StormfanaticInd]

The storm just sits there. Wow

[StormfanaticInd]

And there is another storm right behind it on that run!

[Hoosier]

35 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

I, for one, have actually not given up quite yet on this baby moving back west

Anything is possible.  I'd say better than 50/50 odds of a decent storm somewhere in the sub.

[A-L-E-K]

ukmet looks like it would also be west of north american guidance

[Baum]

congrats, madison.

[A-L-E-K]

1 minute ago, Baum said:

congrats, madison.

rainer still on the table obv

[Frog Town]

And just like that there's fish in the stream!  Now the question is, can we hook one??  At the very least the pattern looks solid.  

[Kitchener poster]

Cheque please

[IWXwx]

1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said:

The storm just sits there. Wow

The Euro has the surface low doing the sit-n-spin over the Great Lakes for over 48 hrs. lol

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Anything is possible.  I'd say better than 50/50 odds of a decent storm somewhere in the sub.

consistency of a storm is very good for so far out, of course where it goes no one knows. Unlike the rather last minute Detroit snowfall Sunday and Chicagos snow today, this one will be dissected all week. Let the model mayhem of the 2020-21 season commence!