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wdrag

Beneficial 1-3" rain, iso 4.5" 2PM Sunday 11th-2PM Tuesday Oct 13

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My last til the morning. CP 0.91 as of midnight.  Wantage NJ 0.47

Several wrap up graphics added for todays 24 hour calendar day rainfall.  NJ CLI rainfall leads, followed by several graphics from WU... a few data points suspect but 

while far E LI very little so far...less than 0.1"; the rest of Long Island an easy 0.75 to 1.75" today,  se NYS as presented (less than 1" except near HPN.  CT should be coming up now. NJ shows a number of 2+ along the coast from near New Brunswick down to ACY. 

Radar shows the bands of enhanced rainfall moving northward pretty quick.  Should be more interesting toward dawn when we wake up to a new day. 

 

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Good Tuesday morning all,

CP 1.12", i think for a storm total through 6A,  Wantage NJ 0.62

More coming through midday except it probably quits NJ shore around 8-10A. Ends this afternoon from W-E per what I think are the best performers early today RGEM/GGEM and ECMWF op runs from 00z/13. 

First graphic is general expectation from 8A-4P... except probably nil after 8A s of I-195 in NJ, maybe almost nil at I78, again after 8A. 

I've added on some mapped sampler amounts since about midnight.  (Am pretty sure we exceeded 3" Storm TOTAL parts of the NJ coast.)  First 6 hourly is the NJ CLI sites, then NYS Mesonet, then a broad WU. Bottom line...nice rains early today with largest .5 to 75" amounts NJ coast-e LI. 

May not be posting much 8A-1P. Have good day. 

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10 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

.2 today and .28 yesterday. Meh...

About the same here.    Another round coming Friday night-starting to get into stratiform rain/storm season now

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Wantage NJ at 2P..drizzle slowly ending. Total today 0.60, entire event total 1.07.  

Central Park event total 1.29" through 18z/13.

Maps posted... two radar sensor combined analysis.  The MARFC version looks more accurate, bit it too is running a little shy.  The southern region radar analysis (second radar image)  is definitely too low in coastal NJ. 

Also added NY MESONET totals as of 1PM, and then CoCoRAHS 2 day total through ~8A today.  Tomorrow I'll add the 3 day CoCORAHS update.  Bottom line many 3-4" reports  Monmouth-Ocean Counties in NJ...solid 1-2" LI and most of NJ, 1/2-1" CT/se NYS except maybe extreme northwest edge of the forum a little less. 

Will add some probable final comments to this art about 215PM. 

Look back: this didn't work out too bad.  We didn't bite quite as hard on 3-4.5" focusing south.  Onset was delayed slightly (4 hours from projected), winds and temps were good. Updated wind concerns for early Tuesday were overdone.  

 

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1.99” here.

Still atrocious outside. This is my least favorite type of weather, the only saving grace is that it isn’t cold.

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My final on this event: Here is CoCORAHS sampling (entire event).  Not sure if anyone saw how much rain fell in Hartford County yesterday (Southington etc). I know Hartford is out of our area...but over 4.5" up there and so our area only has a documented max of around 4".  Graphics are appended for verification purposes. 

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