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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread

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The early next week heat will probably be the strongest heat of the season.

I don't see it getting hotter than that in August. August could be more warm/humid than near record hot. Lots of tropical activity lurking too.

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14 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

100 and 90 degree temps both seem to be less than what we had during the 90s, but that is to be expected, as the humidity levels rise, it's harder to reach extreme temps.  But when the humidity levels rise, it also makes the min temps higher, so it's a give/take scenario.

 

Seeing more subtropical characterstics here. 

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32 minutes ago, uncle W said:

lowest minimum in NYC this month is 67...if that holds up it will be a new record for July...

Yeah, warmest July monthly  minimums across the region for numerous  rural, suburban, and urban stations.  This has been a theme in recent years.
 

Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 58 7
2 2019 54 0
3 2013 53 0
- 2012 53 0
Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 7
2 2019 61 0
- 2012 61 0
4 2013 60 0


 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 7
2 2019 60 0
- 1931 60 0
- 1897 60 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 68 7
- 2008 68 0
3 2019 67 0
- 1994 67 0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 7
2 2019 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0
5 2011 65 0
Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 64 7
- 2019 64 0
- 1994 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 7
2 2019 64 0
3 2015 63 0


 

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Northern NJ and se NYS: Dont be surprised at seeing/hearing thunder and or experiencing a brief downpour this afternoon. Already a tiny shower in ne PA at 1025A.  I know a few of us up here in Sussex and Orange counties might benefit from a shower, having missed out on the swaths of big time rains this past week. We'll see how it goes. CU bubbling and some decent buildups to the se-s of Wantage NJ. 

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, warmest July monthly  minimums across the region for numerous  rural, suburban, and urban stations.  This has been a theme in recent years.
 

Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 58 7
2 2019 54 0
3 2013 53 0
- 2012 53 0
Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 7
2 2019 61 0
- 2012 61 0
4 2013 60 0


 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 7
2 2019 60 0
- 1931 60 0
- 1897 60 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 68 7
- 2008 68 0
3 2019 67 0
- 1994 67 0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 7
2 2019 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0
5 2011 65 0
Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 64 7
- 2019 64 0
- 1994 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 7
2 2019 64 0
3 2015 63 0


 

Ha breaking the record mostly set last year.

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45 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

The early next week heat will probably be the strongest heat of the season.

I don't see it getting hotter than that in August. August could be more warm/humid than near record hot. Lots of tropical activity lurking too.

This coming week's heat likely the hottest along with this past week but I've learned never to say it cant happen.  In these warm / hot years all it takes sometimes is a ridge in the right spot.

Agree August theme looks warm and wet (humid) and may see Tropical tracking most of the month.  That ridge building back from the Atlantic and the Rockies ridge returning eat towards the Midwest and Ohio valley seems to be the tendency so id watch August 6 - 14 more the next sustained heat spike.  

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25 minutes ago, dWave said:

Ha breaking the record mostly set last year.

Yeah, record high dew points and minimum temperatures have become our new summer normal. ISP on track for the first 70° average dew point July.

E1C8E038-266F-4BFF-8ECE-7281D8EE0ECF.png.355c672a0088d913946706b9c0b317c5.png

 

 

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11AM Roundup

 

LGA: 86
EWR: 85
ISP: 83
BLM: 83
TEB: 83
New Brnswck: 83
ACY: 83
NYC: 82
PHL: 82
JFK: 81
TTN: 78

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10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, record high dew points and minimum temperatures have become our new summer normal. ISP on track for the first 70° average dew point July.

E1C8E038-266F-4BFF-8ECE-7281D8EE0ECF.png.355c672a0088d913946706b9c0b317c5.png

 

 

yeah the rising dew points and minimum temperatures go hand and hand...

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5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, record high dew points and minimum temperatures have become our new summer normal. ISP on track for the first 70° average dew point July. So our climate is taking on more subtropical characteristics.

E1C8E038-266F-4BFF-8ECE-7281D8EE0ECF.png.355c672a0088d913946706b9c0b317c5.png

 

 

After reading and trying to digest the report that Don S so kindly posted in the climate change thread, not only will my 2050 postage stamp be wetlands, Brooklynn Heights will probably have the first NYC coconut palms struggling to survive a sometimes cool but snowless winter. At 103, with my luck, I’ll be here to see it. As always...

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31 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, record high dew points and minimum temperatures have become our new summer normal. ISP on track for the first 70° average dew point July.

E1C8E038-266F-4BFF-8ECE-7281D8EE0ECF.png.355c672a0088d913946706b9c0b317c5.png

 

 

So  in 50 years the average dew point temperature at Islip has gone from 64 to about 66-67. It does look like we have been in a high trend for the past 9 years. Before 2010 it doesn't look like a big change.

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Noon Roundup:

 

LGA: 86
EWR: 85
NYC: 85
New Brnswck: 85
TEB: 85
ACY: 85
ISP: 84
BLM: 84
JFK: 83
PHL: 83
TTN: 81

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S/SSW flow may keep EWR and some coastal spots from hitting 90.  We'll is we can get more a SW wind later this afternoon.

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despite the trough next week the euro keeps us in the low 90's most days

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39 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

despite the trough next week the euro keeps us in the low 90's most days

Guidance had certainly moderated in that Jul 30 - Aug 1/2nd period from showing below normal temps to near normal now.  Looks to get quite humid early Aug. Only below normal days will likely be attributed to conditions like yesterday cloudy/showers most of the day for the next 10 days / 2 weeks.

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1PM Roundup

 

LGA: 88
EWR: 87
TEB: 87
BLM: 87
New Brnswck: 86
ISP: 85
ACY: 85
JFK: 85
BYC: 85
PHL: 84
TTN: 83

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26 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

the end of july is almost upon us the waning days are summer about to begin...

Followed 50s Dec-Mar with the occasional spike to 75.  Can't wait to wear shorts on Christmas.  

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2PM Roundup

 

LGA: 89
BLM: 88
New Brnswck: 88
NYC: 87
TEB: 87
EWR: 87
ACY: 86
PHL: 86
TTN: 85
JFK: 84
ISP: 84


 

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New York Times is about half a century late on the “is now subtropical” part, but the environment is clearly responding to the increased warmth.

 

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1 hour ago, nycwinter said:

the end of july is almost upon us the waning days are summer about to begin...

Summer has been continuing well into September and even October recently.

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20 minutes ago, Cfa said:

New York Times is about half a century late on the “is now subtropical” part, but the environment is clearly responding to the increased warmth.

 

The  crepe myrtles  have also  been doing very well here in SW Suffolk.
 

Mr. Roddick, of Brooklyn’s Botanic Garden, actually had his first big arboreal surprise in the mid-1990s. Similar to his fig tree epiphany a few years later, he noticed that a gardener had failed to cut back the crepe myrtle trees, which normally froze in the winter. “The trees were budding,” Mr. Roddick said. “We were shocked.”

Over the last 22 years, only once has an ice storm damaged the trees, he said.

Crepe myrtles are native to Southeast Asia, India and parts of the Central and South Pacific. They are also very common in the American South, where in the summer, they splash the landscape with red, pink, lavender and white blossoms. Until recently, crepe myrtles in New York City would grow no larger than a shrub; gardeners would cut them down to the root for winter.

Now the Brooklyn Botanic Garden grows several varieties year-round, and some have grown into 20-foot trees. They can be found throughout the city and the northern suburbs.

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27 minutes ago, Cfa said:

New York Times is about half a century late on the “is now subtropical” part, but the environment is clearly responding to the increased warmth.

 

There’s little doubt that climate change is having an impact. At the New York Botanical Garden, a growing assortment of plants remain in bloom deeper into autumn and blossoms increasingly break out in February. Frogs are also making earlier appearances.

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On beach here in CI with 82*(83%RH)HI=89*.

Good sea breeze but social distancing breaking down.

Gonna probably skip tomorrow due to this et àl.

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3PM Roundup


LGA: 91
New Brnswck: 89
BLM: 88
EWR: 88
PHL: 88
TEB: 87
TTN: 86
NYC: 86
ISP: 85
ACY: 85
JFK: 84

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