weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 Pretty happy with my snowfall map from yesterday....yay. Though I am concerned that even in the valley there could be 2-3'' potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Pretty happy with my snowfall map from yesterday....yay. Though I am concerned that even in the valley there could be 2-3'' potentially. Might bring it down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Might bring it down a bit. the 4-6'' area I had in NW CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: the 4-6'' area I had in NW CT? I’m not sure there is support for 3-4” near Kevin. Maybe 1 or 2 the most? I know it’s dependent on a lot of factors, but that’s how I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Looks a little bit warmer on overnight models at first glance. Still a flip for many, but eh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Pretty happy with my snowfall map from yesterday....yay. Though I am concerned that even in the valley there could be 2-3'' potentially. Selling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’m not sure there is support for 3-4” near Kevin. Maybe 1 or 2 the most? I know it’s dependent on a lot of factors, but that’s how I see it. Agree. He's going down in flames. Not much in the way of accumulation for most, but impressive, nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Going to be funny when I put 2500' of tarps from my firewood piles over my new lawn to try to save it. Frfiday? When is Frfiday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Just now, klw said: Frfiday? When is Frfiday? Two days before Garfield but three days after Twosday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not sure there is support for 3-4” near Kevin. Maybe 1 or 2 the most? I know it’s dependent on a lot of factors, but that’s how I see it. Gotcha...makes sense. I am fine with the NW Hills but certainly could be too high towards the Northeast part of the state. I am thinking this system ends up on the stronger side but just not all that certain on exact track. Slight wobbles would mean a big difference in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 The 0Z Canadian was quite robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 This will accumulate in the hills . No doubt there. But when is the flip to snow? If it’s after the heavy qpf then it’s like Scoots says 1-2”. If its early , dynamics flip quicker then it’s 2-4”. I doubt anyone seems more than 4” anywhere unless it goes nuts like that one a few weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Selling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 It's all about getting that CCB going....it taps really cold air once it does but you need to get that circulation going otherwise the low levels will stay too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's all about getting that CCB going....it taps really cold air once it does but you need to get that circulation going otherwise the low levels will stay too warm. 06 Z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 43 minutes ago, dryslot said: Selling here. Its amazing we are doing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Personally I am hoping for an epic May windex snow squall on Saturday. That would be a first for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's all about getting that CCB going....it taps really cold air once it does but you need to get that circulation going otherwise the low levels will stay too warm. I would sell this like I would sell the Wayfair stock that has run from 25 to 180 in 6 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Its amazing we are doing this My subscriptions are usually done in March for models this time of year but i kept just the SV one active because of these last 3 events, Which is a first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 The chances of a brush or whiff to the SE are now up to about 45% epic snow map bust incoming look at the orientation of the trough and the Angle of the shortwave If mean trough ticks east or angle of shortwave ticks S or waits a tick longer to turn ENE she’s gone is this hard to see If we are going to be hit we need trends to turn today at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The chances of a brush or whiff to the SE are now up to about 45% epic snow map bust incoming look at the orientation of the trough and the Angle of the shortwave If mean trough ticks east or angle of shortwave ticks S or waits a tick longer to turn ENE she’s gone is this hard to see If we are going to be hit we need trends to turn today at 12z If you squint really tightly you can see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The chances of a brush or whiff to the SE are now up to about 45% epic snow map bust incoming look at the orientation of the trough and the Angle of the shortwave If mean trough ticks east or angle of shortwave ticks S or waits a tick longer to turn ENE she’s gone is this hard to see If we are going to be hit we need trends to turn today at 12z ? Maine might break their all time May lowest pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The chances of a brush or whiff to the SE are now up to about 45% epic snow map bust incoming look at the orientation of the trough and the Angle of the shortwave If mean trough ticks east or angle of shortwave ticks S or waits a tick longer to turn ENE she’s gone is this hard to see If we are going to be hit we need trends to turn today at 12z What a melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: If you squint really tightly you can see it. I'm going to stare at the street light all night tomorrow night to see a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 50 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I would sell this like I would sell the Wayfair stock that has run from 25 to 180 in 6 weeks Need something like the GFS which wraps up the storm much quicker. Otherwise sell the accumulations below 2k and just expect some flakes...rare in itself in May but not historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Need something like the GFS which wraps up the storm much quicker. Otherwise sell the accumulations below 2k and just expect some flakes...rare in itself in May but not historic. I think there's quite a bit which favors this being the more likely scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 NAM still pretty flat...does have a nice burst though over interior MA/CT/NW RI that would probably give a couple of sloppy inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 NAM is pretty meh. Certainly not wrapped up like the gfs or 18z euro was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Has flakes though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Maine might break their all time May lowest pressure Ya I’ll sell anything resembling all time Maine low pressure records weak and se is the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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