weatherwiz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Looks like a parade of poop through the end of the month. But the soundings look pretty decent around 06z tonight. I like seeing those lapse rates start to approach moist adiabatic in the DGZ and above. This is going to surprise...even down in the valleys. Somewhere in the hills though get 7-10'' I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, weatherwiz said: This is going to surprise...even down in the valleys. Somewhere in the hills though get 7-10'' I bet. The last minute ticks will thrill southern folks and make the rest of us wimper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s a pretty decent little south shuffle at 18z. HRRR/3kmNAM/Herpes (the meso models) all have similar output in SE Mass. This will be interesting. Just remember these are 10:1 ratios... actual of 7-8:1 would shave down but 3-4” of true wet paste could be higher impact. Ha, brutal little hole over Keene, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, moneypitmike said: The last minute ticks will thrill southern folks and make the rest of us wimper. for us southern folk every tick south on the models is a tick north in the pants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: The last minute ticks will thrill southern folks and make the rest of us wimper. The Messenger shuffle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is going to surprise...even down in the valleys. Somewhere in the hills though get 7-10'' I bet. i definitely can see the NE/NW hills in the 6-10 range. Warnings may go up for there for like a 4-8 range i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: i definitely can see the NE/NW hills in the 6-10 range. Warnings may go up for there for like a 4-8 range i think. agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 1:00 am ish around here for TSSN? I think your window is 5-8z if you're going to get it. Check BGM's CWA before normal people go to bed, if they've got a couple strikes around 2-3z I think it's good to go for SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If I didn't have kids, I'd be up...lol. Yup I think I’ll stay up for this. Looking better and better with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, Fozz said: Yup I think I’ll stay up for this. Looking better and better with each run. You may be in a good spot. I do wonder if the mesos may be jumping a bit. I'd probably stay the course with the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You may be in a good spot. I do wonder if the mesos may be jumping a bit. I'd probably stay the course with the euro. Yeah I don’t buy the 7-9” totals that some of them are showing. I think 3-6” is a solid call, which would still be amazing for this late in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 We have 4" in Franklin, but mentioned the possibility of as much as 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: We have 4" in Franklin, but mentioned the possibility of as much as 6" That sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Fozz said: Yeah I don’t buy the 7-9” totals that some of them are showing. I think 3-6” is a solid call, which would still be amazing for this late in the season. Yeah the 10:1 stuff won't happen in many areas. Perhaps the areas near 1K could do it for a time, but it will take time to flip it to snow, and then have it cool enough for accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 I'm pretty amped up on the air about this one. Hope it doesn't bust lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: I'm pretty amped up on the air about this one. Hope it doesn't bust lol I’ve only seen you this excited in our big blizzards and tornado outbreaks. You are wild tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve only seen you this excited in our big blizzards and tornado outbreaks. You are wild tonight I mean it's got a good shot of being the Hartford Areas biggest snow on record this late in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, CT Rain said: I'm pretty amped up on the air about this one. Hope it doesn't bust lol FCC fines incoming for gratuitous nudity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 This calls to break out the big guns . Just rip it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: FCC fines incoming for gratuitous nudity? I mean I am at home.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Can someone explain what in the world is this? How did we go from zero in S CT to 4-6 all the way down the shore with 6-8 lollis over my area and even 1-2 in NYC? This is expected snowfall not 1 in 10 chance either? What the what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Can someone explain what in the world is this? How did we go from zero in S CT to 4-6 all the way down the shore with 6-8 lollis over my area and even 1-2 in NYC? This is expected snowfall not 1 in 10 chance either? What the what? Must be an error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 1-2'' NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Can someone explain what in the world is this? How did we go from zero in S CT to 4-6 all the way down the shore with 6-8 lollis over my area and even 1-2 in NYC? This is expected snowfall not 1 in 10 chance either? What the what? That's likely their forecast over their whole domain area and they forgot to run it with intersite coordination (ISC) on that pulls in the surrounding office forecasts. Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 I wonder if yesterday’s event will be bigger for me than tonight’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: That's likely their forecast over their whole domain area and they forgot to run it with intersite coordination (ISC) on that pulls in the surrounding office forecasts. Oops. big oops, thanks for the explan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 6-8”? Aren’t you going to be asleep for every snowflake that falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Aren’t you going to be asleep for every snowflake that falls Setting alarm for 1:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I wonder if yesterday’s event will be bigger for me than tonight’s. I’m surprised box hasn’t taken em down for N ORH County currier n Ives must be on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 17, 2020 Share Posted April 17, 2020 Yeah, everything looks south including the radar/banding to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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