wncsnow Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, Grayman said: Does HRRR and the RAP usually have a very warm bias? Yes, especially the hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Seems every model looks very anemic with moisture here in the N.Foothills! And even more pronounced as we get closer to start time............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Seems every model looks very anemic with moisture here in the N.Foothills! And even more pronounced as we get closer to start time............. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, Pilotwx said: Agreed Maybe we'll get a decent chance in March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Maybe we'll get a decent chance in March! Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, Pilotwx said: Agreed We are fine in the foothills... trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Maybe we'll get a decent chance in March! Magnificent March! It's the new Fab Feb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Well the UKMET also stepped back on precip totals and snow totals for western areas.. I'm guessing the euro will be pretty dry too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Pilotwx said: Agreed Everyone will be fine for the accumulating grass event. See u on big one in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 This is the previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, bess said: We are fine in the foothills... trust me. Hope you're right, But I need to see some maps they say so! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Interestingly the UK has the jackpot set up in the Kinston area much like the GFS did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 UK met actually went up for Charlotte and hwy 74 just a tick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncgolfguy Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Well the UKMET also stepped back on precip totals and snow totals for western areas.. I'm guessing the euro will be pretty dry too I did drop out of meteorology my freshman year but I can just about promise you that’s not going to verify in the Morganton Hickory area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 19 minutes ago, Dunkman said: Interestingly the UK has the jackpot set up in the Kinston area much like the GFS did. Yea sitting here at PGV with individual model maximums all around me. Some south some north some west......who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, shaggy said: Yea sitting here at PGV with individual model maximums all around me. Some south some north some west......who knows. You just might be in the prime spot this time Shag! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just look at all that moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billypg70 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 13 minutes ago, bess said: Just look at all that moisture. CJ our local meteorologist said the newest model data had the moisture still coming down after midnight. Earlier it ended by 7 or 8pm. He said we have to keep an eye on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Euro is similar to last run but once again a bit drier for western Piedmont and foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 I don’t think I’m buying a Lee side minimum with this storm. I have never seen one to my memory with a SW to NE fetch of moisture. Doesn’t make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 42 minutes ago, bess said: Just look at all that moisture. Wow, this field is impressive on the live radar. And it's already made it to BHM, this thing will be coming in early for NEGA/Upstate. Imagine if we had the profile from 2/8! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 From one of the local guys on FB... this is for the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 2 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: I don’t think I’m buying a Lee side minimum with this storm. I have never seen one to my memory with a SW to NE fetch of moisture. Doesn’t make sense. Have to agree....given how the system looks currently and the setup I have a hard time believing it's that extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 49 minutes ago, burgertime said: Have to agree....given how the system looks currently and the setup I have a hard time believing it's that extreme. Was hoping you would pop in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 HRRR crushes i-85 and north in the upstate with over one half inch of liquid after the column reaches isothermal at 1pm. According to this model, we only waste about .05 inches of liquid before the change over. Here's the radar valid at 3pm today. You can see the R/S line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwick20 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 25 minutes ago, burrel2 said: HRRR crushes i-85 and north in the upstate with over one half inch of liquid after the column reaches isothermal at 1pm. According to this model, we only waste about .05 inches of liquid before the change over. Here's the radar valid at 3pm today. You can see the R/S line Burrel2 are you really buying this? I believe the warm bubble that often effects eastern Oconee County and western Pickens County will rear its ugly head for this event. I am in Walhalla, about 8 miles from Oconee Nuclear Station and the soundings are razor thin at best. I exppect a sloppy mess at best and plain rain at worst. Looking at the soundings the slightest tick up in temps may allow us to have some sleet mixed but that may be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 hour ago, burgertime said: Have to agree....given how the system looks currently and the setup I have a hard time believing it's that extreme. Burger sighting!...... Glad you're still alive and well. I have to agree here. I am skeptical of the lee-side snow-hole with the trajectory of the precip that's coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Futurecast radar, still has snow making it to I-85 by noon here, we will see. Still no WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Futurecast radar, still has snow making it to I-85 by noon here, we will see. Still no WWA When it’s 46 degrees? Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: When it’s 46 degrees? Good luck. I don’t know where the cold is coming from? The high is in the wrong place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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