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Pilotwx

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Everything posted by Pilotwx

  1. Pilotwx

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Thunderstorms on the Gulf coast , probably robing moisture as well as warming the Atmosphere
  2. Pilotwx

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    I remember being on wright weather as well. This has the potential to be historic for sure. I have never seen this many model runs with this much snow, never !
  3. Pilotwx

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    I'M with ya as well I call it, Mountain Shadow effect.
  4. Pilotwx

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    One is 6z less snowfal in NC, 12z more snowfall NC
  5. Pilotwx

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    No High at HR.120. Bogus run
  6. Pilotwx

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Its part of the system pivoting to go NE eventually depends how fast it happens for you as well as anyone, but you look to get several hours of good rates
  7. Pilotwx

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Looks like UL is going negative. Packing the gradient up against the mountains. Hence back building and more moisture . also notice the fire hose in Central NC
  8. Pilotwx

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    For those in the triad area Ratios Per BUFKIT mainly 14:1 and as high as 19:1
  9. Pilotwx

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Only thing these models are doing out in the foothills and mountains is saying the highest peaks are getting nothing. it seem to be shutting down the moisture with elevation.
  10. Pilotwx

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    If it drops much farther south, it could be a bigger surpise!
  11. Pilotwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    I believe it is according to what model you were using. It did show this coming in around Ark. At one point yesterday or Sunday . Days are running together !
  12. Pilotwx

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2017

    Been watching JB since late 90's early 2000's he is a pattern guy and Tele Connections . Does not always go his way but, he is very good at it. Some say he always says its going to snow. But, the problem is he is not forecasting for 1 spot like where your house sits at. That's where most people have to read and listen to what he is saying not just what they want to hear.
  13. I think a lot of people will see White Rain.
  14. Pilotwx

    Hurricane Irma

    One Model the NAM is showing a eastward move off the coast of FLA. and up the coast to Outer banks of NC . Not the most reliable model for hurricanes
  15. Pilotwx

    Hurricane Irma

    If on east side of Low pressure Windy ,and rain buckets. lots of moisture riding up the chain.
  16. Pilotwx

    Hurricane Irma

    With storms this size they make their own path. If the storms turns north like models have been showing then it doesn't turn on a dime. Hugo, Andrew created their on paths
  17. Pilotwx

    2016 Mountains & Foothills Fall & Winter Thread

    Snowing and Sleeting here
  18. Pilotwx

    3/13- 3/14 Winter Storm Threat

    Tonight's 00z runs will be epic !
  19. Pilotwx

    3/13- 3/14 Winter Storm Threat

    Wait till tomorrow after the Sunday storm passes and models will have a better Handel on storm. Models never do good when you have back to back storm to much going on in upper air pattern to get a good solution
  20. Pilotwx

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    Yep he did call it. He gets a bad rap
  21. Pilotwx

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    So there a chance
  22. Pilotwx

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    That is my thinking it maybe better back to the west just wait till next run
  23. Pilotwx

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    Did anyone else notice that the coastal low on 18z was closer to coast than the 12z at the same time on GFS?
  24. Pilotwx

    Feb 15-16 Possible Mixed Event.

    Winds were howling last night pretty good. Didn't get the max radiation cooling . To much mixing
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