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5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Eps looks good!

what ...is it showing yet another cycle with a 1002 mb low S of ISP ... woooh

I will say this much, if this Euro run goes on to score with that, that's a big win for the early spring camp. wow... That is a f'n late March faux extended prick tease story line if ever we lived through a spring in NE - just happens to be setting up in late January. 

It's been a spring look all along. Some of us have been bringing this to light -

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

what ...is it showing yet another cycle with a 1002 mb low S of ISP ... woooh

Someone has winter depression, you need some vitamin D... Deeze...

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Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Someone has winter depression, you need some vitamin D... Deeze...

No ... factually, it's been showing a 1002 type low for many cycles. 

That's not really very exciting - though by definition, exciting is subjective I guess.  To each his own - but let's not over sell 1002 mb low either way. 

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

No ... factually, it's been showing a 1002 type low for many cycles. 

That's not really very exciting - though by definition, exciting is subjective I guess.  To each his own - but let's not over sell 1002 mb low either way. 

It's an ensemble mean.. usually higher slp than actual, no?

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6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

It does look like an improvement

EPS has been better all along but OP getting worst, either there is a weenie solution in there or OP will catch up by 0z tonight once everything is sampled

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3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

EPS definitely ticked north with the ULL.

It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. 

Which one of us is looking at the wrong run?

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2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

It looks like it ticked well south on tropical tidbits. 

Which one of us is looking at the wrong run?

It's north of the both the 00z and 06z ensemble mean. 

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Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Was comparing 12z to 0z.

I forgot about 6z. So I'm only half an idiot.

Half baked instead of totally?

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10 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

It's an ensemble mean.. usually higher slp than actual, no?

Ahh yeah..there's probably some deeper members in there...but D 5, we'd like to see that < 1000 ..

Again, this could all be moot if this comes on board out west overnight and suddenly .. we dawn tomorrow with more substantively sampled/resulting model panoply.   The Euro morphology between the 00z and 12z is telling  - we need more time.   Too much grousing...too much faux elation...too much everything when patience is warranted. 

I will say this much ... despite the 2-page morning campaign to sack the GFS lobbied by the collective, the 850 and 700 mb set ups out there at 120 hours are tasty.   Isothermal snow sounding with deep >90% RH through 500 mb is plenty to get a good old fashioned pasting. 

 

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14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Looks good right where it is, The muthafukkers do too.

I’ll take this too.  With side of Hell yes.  Keep the snow in the Mtns.  

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

Well it's still north of both. It's more subtle between 00z and 12z. 

Yes, Its north of 0z too, Poor Jay..................:lol:

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And I did acknowledge ULL went further north on eps in my most recent post modifying it literally a minute after the first one.  Weenies

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36 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Eps looks good!    Edit....could stand to have the ULL further south 

Yeah they are in a good spot right now, but you are right the ULL did trend north too...still, this solution would work for a lot of SNE if we can actually hold the line on this type of solution.

 

output_ExSL9v.gif

 

 

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6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

And I did acknowledge ULL went further north on eps in my most recent post modifying it literally a minute after the first one.  Weenies

The ULL can go a bit north but you need good dynamics if it does. 

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