STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Based on a NAM run? I’ll wait for real guidance to come out. Euro improved at 6z Scooter is basically in a straight jacket at this point. They are sending him to shutter island on morning ferry. Thus.. He needs this storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 NAM is a nice look here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter is basically in a straight jacket at this point. They are sending him to shutter island on morning ferry. Thus.. He needs this storm I don't expect much though. But I could use a pick me up lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 These are desperate times... lots of wrist wringing for what is a rather pedestrian event, to be washed away 2 days later. Good stuff. We are really wintering here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Critter to the shitter. Not sorry for what you were never going to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I don't expect much though. But I could use a pick me up lately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Love how this shitter critter gets blasted due east like an explosive reah I will take 2-4" though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter is basically in a straight jacket at this point. They are sending him to shutter island on morning ferry. Thus.. He needs this storm Ha, just watched that the other night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 hours ago, Ogmios said: There are snowfall warnings posted for the province of Nova Scotia expecting 6-9 inches for areas Lunenburg County, north and eastwards Most areas of western Nova Scotia which includes Cumberland, Kings, are under Special Weather statements with a straight out 4 inches expected, some may get more and could receive warnings as the track and intensity may shift slightly particularly for border locations as several of the models have varied on snowfall amounts closer to be in the range of 4-6 with many locations closer to 6 close to the border of the snowfall warning; moving towards the range of 2-4 in the deep southern tip of Nova Scotia The unofficial small city of Sydney is expecting a brief changeover to rain which also retains the snowfall warning Newfoundland is next to receive that football, and it appears our friendly neighborhood individual from that area is expecting the worst of fates compared to those who are missing out on this system as it appears to be the winter enthusiast worst enemy we like to call: RAIN My subjective prediction is that the mid Atlantic is going to get hit with a surprise major blizzard that will cripple the city for a few days in mid February. I would gladly to some snow to a little bit of rain over nothing. Plus light snow and blowing snow Thursday on the backside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Based on a NAM run? I’ll wait for real guidance to come out. Euro improved at 6z Trending consensus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Trending consensus Not really. The only run that gave you and Scott anything siggy was the 6z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: Trending consensus It has trended incrementally more favorable for this region over the past day. Consensus is pretty good for 2-4". The NAM was an outlier and now is pretty similar to the 6z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not really. The only run that gave you and Scott anything was the 6z nam Nah most guidance has C-1" even for BOS. Euro had a bit more. It's going to be close, but my gut says it remains more SE of him and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: It has trended incrementally more favorable for this region over the past day. Consensus is pretty good for 2-4". The NAM was an outlier and now is pretty similar to the 6z Euro. Yeah you to the Cape may get an advisory event there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 27 fukking pages. What a winter... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: 27 fukking pages. What a winter... A rapidly deepening storm near the benchmark and we're having trouble getting advisory snow to GHG-TAN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For most of us. Even for you, it's on the fence...although not sure what your expectation is. If things break perfectly, I see 3-4" as the top potential. Right now I'm leaning 1-2". Keep in mind we've seen less then 1" in 3 weeks time here and we've been running huge departures so any wintry feel for a few days will be a nice change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: If things break perfectly, I see 3-4" as the top potential. Right now I'm leaning 1-2". Keep in mind we've seen less then 1" in 3 weeks time here and we've been running huge departures so any wintry feel for a few days will be a nice change. No argument here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: 27 fukking pages. What a winter... Ha I was thinking that... a little critter in NVT dropped a widespread 4-6” last night in the Northeast Kingdom of VT and it barely showed up on models. Maybe this little critter can do the same down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: 27 fukking pages. What a winter... What's your point? We have 48 pages in the main January discussion thread thru 6 days. I'd rather break out individual storms, regardless of outcome, so that we keep the main thread less cluttered, 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Ha I was thinking that... a little critter in NVT dropped a widespread 4-6” last night in the Northeast Kingdom of VT and it barely showed up on models. Maybe this little critter can do the same down there. I’ll be up in BTV by Thursday. Looking forward to seeing and feeling like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: What's your point? We have 48 pages in the main January discussion thread thru 6 days. I'd rather break out individual storms, regardless of outcome, so that we keep the main thread less cluttered, My point is this has been modeled as a crap event for 90%+ of the board (The winners are a few inches save for James who may get 5-6). In our decent winter this Thread wouldn’t get nearly as much action. This winter since mid December has been abominable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha I was thinking that... a little critter in NVT dropped a widespread 4-6” last night in the Northeast Kingdom of VT and it barely showed up on models. Maybe this little critter can do the same down there. If you ignored meso outputs you wouldn't have known it was coming up there. Deep winter up there, maybe a devastating ice storm to make it look like Hoth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: My point is this has been modeled as a crap event for 90%+ of the board (The winners are a few inches save for James who may get 5-6). In our decent winter this Thread wouldn’t get nearly as much action. This winter since mid December has been abominable. Delusions of grandeur I suppose, for those who thought this had a chance for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 It looks like there could be a little weenie band NW of the main CCB....say, like BOS to PVD if the main CCB is kissing the Cape....if it's a little SE, then it would be more like GHG-UUU...but this band could give a little mini-surprise to someone. IF this trends a little NW throughout the day today, then it could get into metrowest down to E CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Delusions of grandeur I suppose, for those who thought this had a chance for them. I mean 4 days ago this was going to rain hard for you and snow up here. I don’t think it was unreasonable for anyone southeast of ORH to think they had a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha I was thinking that... a little critter in NVT dropped a widespread 4-6” last night in the Northeast Kingdom of VT and it barely showed up on models. Maybe this little critter can do the same down there. Called it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I mean 4 days ago this was going to rain hard for you and snow up here. I don’t think it was unreasonable for anyone southeast of ORH to think they had a shot. S & E of ORH correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: S & E of ORH correct. Look I’m as guilty as everyone else. But thankfully old age has given me a bit more perspective these days. Hopefully the weekend torch won’t fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 No ill feelings here. Never expected anything and it will be all a dream soon, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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