TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 500 looks a little better so far on the icon through 18. Spacing of all the players seems a bit better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Rpm clownmap? it cut back but still a good run/track. 2-4 is now focused SE you're about 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 what is the next model after NAM? GEM/RGEM? when exactly do those start rolling out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Icon another small tick NW... gets snow to like ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Reggie didn't help us at 00z...it looked a bit better early on but then just got kicked east as it approached our latitude and ended up about the same as 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 RGEM looks like a slight tick NW but still a whiff for all of CT. We're gonna need some serious ICU support at 6Z and 12Z, though Kevin says warnings will be up for most of the region by morning so I'm not worried. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 00z started off good now it seems like we’re backsliding as the better models start to roll in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: RGEM looks like a slight tick NW but still a whiff for all of CT. We're gonna need some serious ICU support at 6Z and 12Z, though Kevin says warnings will be up for most of the region by morning so I'm not worried. Exactly , stupid models what do they know ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Our surface low is now sub 1016mb over SW Interior Tennessee, southwest of Nashville, TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The influence from the shortwave we have now dubbed SS is now losing influence and being pushed northeast by the southern jet streak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 22 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: RGEM looks like a slight tick NW but still a whiff for all of CT. We're gonna need some serious ICU support at 6Z and 12Z, though Kevin says warnings will be up for most of the region by morning so I'm not worried. In KURO we trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reggie didn't help us at 00z...it looked a bit better early on but then just got kicked east as it approached our latitude and ended up about the same as 18z. Overwhelming support for the upper level shit kick but how good are models at knowing when and if it happens? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 9 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Our surface low is now sub 1016mb over SW Interior Tennessee, southwest of Nashville, TN. 1016 is not very impressive lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Overwhelming support for the upper level shit kick but how good are models at knowing when and if it happens? Who knows.... we’ve seen models miss before... Jan 15 blizzard for starters. I’ll tell you what... if it’s off by 30-50 miles someone is getting a good amount of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Overwhelming support for the upper level shit kick but how good are models at knowing when and if it happens? A couple hours would probably make a pretty big difference...so it's why we sit and torture ourselves watching this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: 1016 is not very impressive lol But it’s our surface low and nobody can take that away from us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Who knows.... we’ve seen models miss before... Jan 15 blizzard for starters. I’ll tell you what... if it’s off by 30-50 miles someone is getting a good amount of snow Is this really you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: But it’s our surface low and nobody can take that away from us. i mean do they even track 1016 lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Shitstreak looks worse on the GFS through 12....don't think this run is gonna help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Is this really you? Maybe it's a new year's resolution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Kina looks better at h5 18h tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 GFS- shortwave is definitely bigger as it develops through 18hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Trying to make a comeback at 24...made up some ground....streak is moving out a little quicker now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I actually think it looks a bit better through 18... we’ll see what the shitstreak does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 mvy might do well on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 ACK 6-12 on gfs. James 4-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Ended up with a very marginal improvement in the end....pretty sick CCB just offshore. That needs like 30-40 miles to get the SE peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The real heavy stuff is sitting right off the cape... maybe we can get another 24 hours worth of ticks to bring that onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ended up with a very marginal improvement in the end....pretty sick CCB just offshore. That needs like 30-40 miles to get the SE peeps. So flipping close.... still a full day tomorrow for more ticks... can we tick 40 miles in 24 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: ACK 6-12 on gfs. James 4-6. yeah islands do well, ACK/MVY.. not much past southern part of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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