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Monday 12/2 Threat Disco

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I'll know if this ends up further west then modeled it has me right on the edge of where the heaviest bands are suppose to be and i mean like 2-3 miles.

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4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'll know if this ends up further west then modeled it has me right on the edge of where the heaviest bands are suppose to be and i mean like 2-3 miles.

and i'll know too because i'll be skunked :)

1.8" overnight

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4 minutes ago, tunafish said:

and i'll know too because i'll be skunked :)

1.8" overnight

Yikes, I got .5" but i wasn't suppose to see much more if any at all then that, I wonder what york county received? I havn't looked at a PNS yet.

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1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Yikes, I got .5" but i wasn't suppose to see much more if any at all then that, I wonder what york county received? I havn't looked at a PNS yet.

 

Certainly better than me.  In addition to below I heard 5" in OOB

 

...York County...
1 NNW Ogunquit               7.1 in    0135 AM 12/02   Public
2 NE Kennebunk               2.0 in    1257 AM 12/02   Trained Spotter
Sanford                      1.0 in    0909 PM 12/01   Public

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2 minutes ago, tunafish said:

 

Certainly better than me.  In addition to below I heard 5" in OOB

 

...York County...
1 NNW Ogunquit               7.1 in    0135 AM 12/02   Public
2 NE Kennebunk               2.0 in    1257 AM 12/02   Trained Spotter
Sanford                      1.0 in    0909 PM 12/01   Public

Curious to the updated totals, Those were kind of early on.

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57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Even if you adjust west, I just feel like this massive band will barely tickle and just light crap west of it. It's a tight call.

I’m with you. I don’t like the trends. I think it’s an all or nothing deal.

Thinking you’ll want to be furthest South and East. Boston on the margin. Northeast trajectory from 50-100 miles east of BM =  Eastern Long Island, RI, to SE MA, and especially cape and islands is where I think it’s a big hit; in terms of qpf. The changes have been subtle from run to run but the mid level track continues to trend south...

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Just now, jbenedet said:

I’m with you. I don’t like the trends. I think it’s an all or nothing deal.

Thinking you’ll want to be furthest South and East. Boston on the margin. Northeast trajectory from 50-100 miles east of BM =  Eastern Long Island, RI, to SE MA, and especially cape and islands is where I think it’s a big hit. The changes have been subtle from run to run but the mid level track continues to trend south...

The south trend favors the Cape and Islands, Long Island, Block Island areas.  This is where I expect the heaviest snows to occur.  The storm bombs either south of the benchmark and travels northward from there to a fifty miles east of CHH.

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8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

The south trend favors the Cape and Islands, Long Island, Block Island areas.  This is where I expect the heaviest snows to occur.  The storm bombs either south of the benchmark and travels northward from there to a fifty miles east of CHH.

How much has accumulated so far?

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13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Curious to the updated totals, Those were kind of early on.

Looks like onite total is .25 out here on Long, which is NE of previously cited locals and, most significantly, surrounded by H2O. Not enough for cx skis, at least not yet. 

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Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

How much has accumulated so far?

Oh all we have now is rain, which is expected.  We will see things dramatically change as the upper level low hits the ocean off of HSE or VA Beach and the surface low goes through bombogenesis.

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Just now, SnowBrosForever said:

Looks like onite total is .25 out here on Long, which is NE of previously cited locals and, most significantly, surrounded by H2O. Not enough for cx skis, at least not yet. 

Tough this time of year unless the rates are real heavy to accumulate by the water.

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3k NAM was quite a bit further east than the 12k. It's going to be tough to really pull the full meat and potatoes of the midlevel banding far enough west.

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4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

3k NAM was quite a bit further east than the 12k. It's going to be tough to really pull the full meat and potatoes of the midlevel banding far enough west.

That’s how I feel.

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42 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'll know if this ends up further west then modeled it has me right on the edge of where the heaviest bands are suppose to be and i mean like 2-3 miles.

Push west please. Picked up 1" overnight.

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32 minutes ago, dryslot said:

According to the timing on this, Still have 24hrs or so before it starts, Feel like we tracked this for a month..........:lol:

I've tuned this event out. too much uncertainty, back and forth, maybe we'll get some goods, maybe not. shit or get off the pot storm.

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1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

I've tuned this event out. too much uncertainty, back and forth, maybe we'll get some goods, maybe not. shit or get off the pot storm.

Don’t worry. Dr. Dews is calling for 70s soon in the other thread. 

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42 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yikes, I got .5" but i wasn't suppose to see much more if any at all then that, I wonder what york county received? I havn't looked at a PNS yet.

14.5" more and you'd be caught up, but I'm snowing pretty good again now. ;)

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5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Don’t worry. Dr. Dews is calling for 70s soon in the other thread. 

He's having as good a start to winter as the Sox did to start last season...….

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