Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[HillsdaleMIWeather]

Sneaky 1 to 3 possible tomorrow night 

[hawkeye_wx]

There appears to be a pretty awful (cold) pattern settling in when we flip to April.  Let's hope it is only several days and not half the month.

[A-L-E-K]

didn't realize how terrible the extended was, just total trash

[RogueWaves]

On 3/21/2020 at 1:31 AM, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Sneaky 1 to 3 possible tomorrow night 

Got 3.5, but little or nothing on pavement. Meh. An exciting event in early December. Just an annoyance at this point, especially with all that's more serious going on. 

[Maxim]

Extended doesn’t look quite as bad on the Euro.

[madwx]

yeah even the GFS extended has flipped and does not look bad at all

[Baum]

I will be on patio this evening grilling. 

[Jonger]

6 minutes ago, Baum said:

I will be on patio this evening grilling. 

It's 40F and cloudy here.

[Baum]

3 hours ago, Jonger said:

It's 40F and cloudy here.

Yup. 48 and cloudy here. It worked.

 

[hlcater]

On 3/28/2020 at 9:44 AM, hawkeye_wx said:

There appears to be a pretty awful (cold) pattern settling in when we flip to April.  Let's hope it is only several days and not half the month.

Models as a whole have kind of abandoned this idea today. Now looks like its only gonna last 5-7 days before switching back to a more severe wx favorable base state.

[A-L-E-K]

On 3/28/2020 at 2:48 PM, A-L-E-K said:

didn't realize how terrible the extended was, just total trash

Same

[michsnowfreak]

Mid April looking unseasonably cold. Let's go for one more snowfall.

[A-L-E-K]

GFS just incredibly wet, seems like that's the only thing we can count on anymore

[Hoosier]

Ugh

[Hoosier]

You know you are out of season when the precip type map looks like this

[Hoosier]

12z GFS is pretty impressive for that system next week, especially for this time of year.

[Chicago Storm]

10 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

12z GFS is pretty impressive for that system next week, especially for this time of year.

There's actually decent agreement among most guidance for an event in the area for late week.

[Baum]

yeah, I'm smelling something. Which is a good thing these days.

 

[Torchageddon]

 

On 3/16/2020 at 9:00 AM, CheeselandSkies said:

Just what we need with this COVID-19 misery going on.

 

On 3/28/2020 at 10:44 AM, hawkeye_wx said:

There appears to be a pretty awful (cold) pattern settling in when we flip to April.  Let's hope it is only several days and not half the month.

Why does April always have to be doo-doo? The last 3 days have been miserable. Locally in SON, there were only 2 warm Aprils last decade!!

[Baum]

This is the final post of this thread  in a winter that snowed on halloween and April 17. In between nothing but failure. Please put it to bed here, I beg you.

[Chicago Storm]

Chicago is now only ~1.5" away from normal snowfall on the season.

[RogueWaves]

40 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Chicago is now only ~1.5" away from normal snowfall on the season.

So is mby (cringes)

[Hoosier]

39 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Chicago is now only ~1.5" away from normal snowfall on the season.

Took an unusual route to get there, with the early and late snowfalls.

On that note, 2019-20 is the first time on record that Chicago has had a 3" calendar day snowfall in October and April of the same snow season. 

If we lower the bar to a 1" calendar day snowfall in October and April of the same snow season, it is only the 3rd time.  October 1906/April 1907 and October 1925/April 1926 are the other two.

[Stebo]

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

Chicago is now only ~1.5" away from normal snowfall on the season.

43.2" here we beat average by 0.5"

[Snownado]

23 minutes ago, Stebo said:

43.2" here we beat average by 0.5"

Still a long way to go. We still have to go through May.

[Stebo]

1 minute ago, Snownado said:

Still a long way to go. We still have to go through May.

It better not snow in May dammit

[Jackstraw]

1 hour ago, Stebo said:

It better not snow in May dammit

Seen flurries at the 500 way way back in the day when you could camp in the North 40 on Thurs. before the race

[michsnowfreak]

12 hours ago, Stebo said:

43.2" here we beat average by 0.5"

Other interesting quirks of this season for Detroit.

 November 9.5" (4th snowiest)

 December 2.7"  (21st least snowy)

 

March 1.7" (21st least snowy)

 April 4.9" (12th snowiest)

[Snowstorms]

2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Other interesting quirks of this season for Detroit.

 November 9.5" (4th snowiest)

 December 2.7"  (21st least snowy)

 

March 1.7" (21st least snowy)

 April 4.9" (12th snowiest)

Crazy how despite all odds, both Detroit and Toronto finished above average this winter. 

How did Jan and Feb fare? YYZ recorded 21" in Feb. Ended up being the 9th snowiest Feb on record, if I'm not mistaken. 

[michsnowfreak]

14 minutes ago, Snowstorms said:

Crazy how despite all odds, both Detroit and Toronto finished above average this winter. 

How did Jan and Feb fare? YYZ recorded 21" in Feb. Ended up being the 9th snowiest Feb on record, if I'm not mistaken. 

Yes, isnt that something lol. The type of Winter lover I am, this was certainly not my Winter of choice, but I also disagree when people act like the snowfall total makes the Winter look better than it was or something along those lines. It is what it is.  That's why there's so many other facets to the weather than just how much snow fell. The bottom line was, this was for all intents and purposes and average snow season, technically a drop above average.  The number of snowcover days of 1"+ averages 50, but this year DTW saw 41 days, so that is moreso indicative of the mild Winter.

 

DTW snowfall this season:

Oct- T (-0.1)

Nov- 9.5" (+8.0)

Dec- 2.7" (-7.0)

Jan- 9.7" (-2.8)

Feb- 14.7" (+4.5)

Mar- 1.7" (-5.2)

Apr- 4.9" (+3.2)

May- ?