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George BM

October Discobs 2019

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24 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Nice squall line on the nam 3k for tomorrow 

Nice. Maybe our fortunes have changed. Looking forward to it. 3.69 inches in the last two weeks. 

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4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro much more in the NAM camp than the GFS for precip amounts tomorrow. 0.5-1” for the metro corridor, but much less for @C.A.P.E..

ill take another ~1" 

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50 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro much more in the NAM camp than the GFS for precip amounts tomorrow. 0.5-1” for the metro corridor, but much less for @C.A.P.E..

I'm good with whatever now. Just wanted to get some decent rain so I could stop perpetually watering my new grass.

3.7" for the month now. I'll take a quarter inch to freshen up my snowpack, er, I mean soil moisture.

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On 10/21/2019 at 7:19 AM, C.A.P.E. said:

I assume you got the crud cleaned out of your rain gauge.

Yes, sir.  There was some piece of debris keeping the tipping part from being able to see-saw back and forth.

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So....including the 0.38 that fell today that will be added in the am, I am at 4.99 for the month now. Crazy after how dry it was the previous 75 days going back from end of Sept to mid July when I had 3.27 during a VERY hot period. After the weekend I will be way over 5 inches for October, and the total for July was 4.78, 90% falling pre mid month. Feast or famine.

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1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Another .58" yesterday, over 3.5" in the past week, and 3.90" for the month.  Let this soak in for a few days, and let's do it again. 

 

Exactly.  3.84" in the last week.

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Had some pretty impressive downpours here. 0.58" total for today, and 4.30" for the month.
Bring on the Saturday soaker.
Better happen in the evening. I will be pissed if it cancels the Sea Witch parade in Rehoboth

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk

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Euro has moved a bit more progressive on the weekend storm, but the gfs cave is basically complete at 12z.

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2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro has moved a bit more progressive on the weekend storm, but the gfs cave is basically complete at 12z.

Another inch or so for most of us advertised on the euro during Saturday night and Sunday would be perfect.

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Euro and GGEM pretty close lately and in today’s 12z. Not sure if that is coincidence or if the GGEM has gotten better lately. @high risk?

 

For sensible weather, that means both give the big cold dump out west next week which modifies as it moves toward us. 

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29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and GGEM pretty close lately and in today’s 12z. Not sure if that is coincidence or if the GGEM has gotten better lately. @high risk?

 

For sensible weather, that means both give the big cold dump out west next week which modifies as it moves toward us. 

This seems to be the trend and CPC is starting to believe it as well. It is alright, as long as it arrives properly for winter.

 

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14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Am I missing something with this frost advisory? Guidance looks like maybe near 40?

Looks like a good radiational cooling night so I guess they are going a few degrees below guidance for the outlying areas. Calm winds and pretty low dews- mid 30s will produce some scattered frost. Had some pretty impressive frost here last Saturday morning in the open areas, with a forecast low of 39, and no frost advisory.

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