Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 How does the cold/ snow threat look end of month/ early Nov? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How does the cold/ snow threat look end of month/ early Nov? Looks pretty cold around Halloween on ensembles. The initial trough before that gets cut off so we don't get as cold in the Oct 25-28 range as it looked earlier, but then it looks like the real stuff comes down after with a pretty impressive PNA ridge. Still out in clown range though...so details can change. But the building western ridge has at least been pretty consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Yeah agree...dates sort of TBD, but I think it's a legit shot of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Moose #3 in Worcester today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Is that moose housebroken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Nice weekend on tap it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 It's officially cold season, nice wx train is long gone...derailed near PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Models want to stall Nestor south of us Sunday and then Fuji wara it back NW into SNE. Interesting turn of events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Models want to stall Nestor south of us Sunday and then Fuji wara it back NW into SNE. Interesting turn of events That would be interesting. Lets get a white Hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Models have been hinting at a tropical connection from that gulf mess for a while. We don't need the rain...hopefully it is shredded offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Should be garbage when it's near here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Ensembles have a -EPO, mildly +PNA and -NAO around Halloween and to start November....decent chance for first flakes for at least some in this forum....obviously NNE favored, but that could produce flakes in SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 What’s the threshold for October snow in order to cancel winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: What’s the threshold for October snow in order to cancel winter? Apparently it's 6"+ at ORH and any measurable at BOS. Not sure if anyone has run the numbers for CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: What’s the threshold for October snow in order to cancel winter? An inch at BOS. Mind you, if I got 5 inches and BOS gets 0.3 slop we’re good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 What products can you look at to analyze eddy momentum fluxes and and flux convergences? I know I've seen some graphics out there. If you wanted to relate Rossby Wave Breaking and its impact on eddy momentum flux is that something you just visualize based on looking at 500 vort? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 26 minutes ago, weathafella said: An inch at BOS. Mind you, if I got 5 inches and BOS gets 0.3 slop we’re good. Yeah but you'd have to hope ORH doesn't get 6" if you get 5" or winter is ruined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 In this instance i would wait until it compacts if its close to 6" so it will measure under to save winter................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Potential Cyclone Sixteen looking pretty healthy on IR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 After a smoking hot +3.2 July up here, The last 2 mos have been dead nuts normal and so is the first 18 days of Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: After a smoking hot +3.2 July up here, The last 2 mos have been dead nuts normal and so is the first 18 days of Oct. Solidly AN here...Gradient winter setting up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Just now, MJOatleast7 said: Solidly AN here...Gradient winter setting up? Would not be the first time if it does happen as we all know, I have been on both sides of them before up here it can be very rewarding being on the right side of it as it was in 2007-08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah but you'd have to hope ORH doesn't get 6" if you get 5" or winter is ruined. What about 5" at ORH, an unofficial 3" at Logan, and a sloppy 1/2" in Winthrop at obs time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: What about 5" at ORH, an unofficial 3" at Logan, and a sloppy 1/2" in Winthrop at obs time? Money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: What about 5" at ORH, an unofficial 3" at Logan, and a sloppy 1/2" in Winthrop at obs time? As long as the Deer Island water treatment plant reports a trace, we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 On 10/16/2019 at 4:50 PM, PowderBeard said: Still learning, why is this? Cold is heavy and dense...it gravitates to the lower spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Potential Cyclone Sixteen looking pretty healthy on IR Nam tries to bring in the rain from it GFS not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nam tries to bring in the rain from it GFS not so much some moisture way get suck in our direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 I can't believe it's not named yet. I mean they've named some waves that lasted like 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Late 70's aerosmith couldn't be that strung out looking. There's no defined low level center at all that I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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