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snowlover2

2019 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Thread

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Boundary in northeast IL/northwest IN has put on the brakes and even appears to have retreated north/east a bit.  Will have to see if any cell can take advantage of it, though low level flow is fairly weak so it may still be tough to get a spinner.

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30 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said:

Storm with a pretty healthy hail core moving into the center of the metro

1.5" hail in Berwyn. 

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A very intense cluster of storms is headed for the STL area, and this could be a very nasty situation given the hail history combined with both the Blues at home and Cardinals at home this evening. There's at least 70,000+ people downtown for the events, so this is a potentially critical situation evolving. 

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1 hour ago, Calderon said:

A very intense cluster of storms is headed for the STL area, and this could be a very nasty situation given the hail history combined with both the Blues at home and Cardinals at home this evening. There's at least 70,000+ people downtown for the events, so this is a potentially critical situation evolving. 

Oh, you mean like this St. Louis Cardinals game that got delayed?

EgiRgYU.png

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9 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Warned cell around the Quad Cities.

That blew up almost right on top of that radar. Too close?

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That storm delivered a torrential downpour here with a tremendous display of lightning, and close thunder.  Had some pretty strong southeasterly gusts during the height of it.  There's definitely a meso vortex associated with this.  Just under an inch from this storm alone so far.

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Watch issued for central IN and nw OH.  Watch coming for central IL and ne MO.BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
239 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2019  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHERN WOOD COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OHIO...  
  
* UNTIL 315 PM EDT.  
  
* AT 239 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WESTON, OR 10  
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  FOSTORIA, NORTH BALTIMORE, WESTON, WAYNE, BLOOMDALE, RISINGSUN,  
  CYGNET, PORTAGE, JERRY CITY, HOYTVILLE, CUSTAR, WEST MILLGROVE,  
  MILTON CENTER AND BAIRDSTOWN.  

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
255 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2019  
  
OHC173-051915-  
/O.CON.KCLE.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190605T1915Z/  
WOOD OH-  
255 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2019  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN  
WOOD COUNTY...  
      
AT 255 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH BALTIMORE,  
OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO IN HENRY COUNTY JUST WEST   
         OF CUSTAR AT 239 PM EDT.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
FOSTORIA, WAYNE, RISINGSUN, CYGNET, PORTAGE, JERRY CITY AND WEST  
MILLGROVE.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TO REPEAT, A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A  
BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY  
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE HOME, OR IN  
A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
  
 

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Seeing reports of a possible touchdown in Henry County, Ohio about 4 hours ago

 

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6 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

Seeing reports of a possible touchdown in Henry County, Ohio about 4 hours ago

 

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Wichman/status/1136351069041287170

That storm amazingly did, in fact, drop a tornado for a little bit. Minimal damage to a nearby farm (you can see the debris in the video). There ended up being multiple tornado warned storms as activity moved east into Cleveland's CWA, but nothing aside from this one was confirmed. 

I was able to get on the storm that trailed the Malinta storm. It ended up going tornado warned, and I was able to get some good structure shots from Benton Ridge, OH as it moved off to my SE. Wall cloud is faintly visible to the right of the power lines mid frame. You can kinda make out a meso structure as well. 

 

benridge_meso1.jpg

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL  
434 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2019  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA...  
  SOUTHERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN IOWA...  
  NORTHEASTERN LINN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA...  
  
* UNTIL 515 PM CDT.  
  
* AT 434 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER PRAIRIEBURG, OR  
  11 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANAMOSA, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  MONTICELLO AND LANGWORTHY AROUND 450 PM CDT.  
  CENTER JUNCTION AROUND 505 PM CDT

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6 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

That came out of nowhere.  

Ya, just general thunderstorm outlook coverage.  But dews are higher off to the east.

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Yeah this is a pretty wicked signal for rising severe potential past mid month somewhere from the GEFS (standardized anomalies of SCP aggregation).

image.thumb.png.2cf5fd9655a44cacedcaf3d55031bbc4.png

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Sunday may be the first of a series of active days across the subforum. 

Analogs have a few solid tornado events. (6/22/91, 6/6/2010, 6/4/2008)

Sounding is from around indy at 21z. Not overly impressed with wind profile. Pretty veered at surface and highish LCL's. 

GFSMW_con_3kmehi_105.png

PRALLC01_gfs215F120.png

2019061212_GFS_105_39.82,-85.91_severe_ml.png

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32 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

5% tornado probs in the OH Valley today.

Maintained on newest outlook. Latest disco concerned for supercells and tornadoes later.

Quote

..MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEYS  
 
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL REMAINS A LITTLE UNCLEAR, AND MAY  
CONSIDERABLY HINGE ON THE EXTENT OF INSOLATION NEAR A REMNANT  
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY, GENERALLY EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE ST. LOUIS METRO  
THROUGH PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA, TOWARD THE  
CINCINNATI AREA. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IS INITIALLY MODEST ACROSS  
THIS REGION, BUT MOISTENING APPEARS UNDERWAY, AS THE REMNANT MCV  
(CURRENTLY JUST WEST OF ST. LOUIS) PROGRESSES EASTWARD. IT IS  
POSSIBLE THAT STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS/SHEAR AND DESTABILIZATION  
NEAR THIS BOUNDARY MAY CONTRIBUTE TO AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE TO  
SUPERCELLS THAT COULD POSE A RISK FOR TORNADOES BY LATE THIS  
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

 

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