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madwx

March 2019 Discussion

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March looks to start out cold and (maybe) active.   Have a feeling that after the next two weeks most of us will be howling for spring.

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The latest couple euro runs show not a single flake of snow for most of Iowa over the next ten days.  We've been the snow epicenter for the last several weeks, but now the script gets inverted.

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Sucks to lose a nice stretch to cold and dry especially as we wind down winter to where it becomes more thread the needle climo time. Models have head faked cold and dry only to have, Ricky tell us to be patient and the look will change.  Though this one feels like it has legs.  March Sun is better than Jan sun.  Enjoy.

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5 minutes ago, UMB WX said:

Sucks to lose a nice stretch to cold and dry especially as we wind down winter to where it becomes more thread the needle climo time. Models have head faked cold and dry only to have, Ricky tell us to be patient and the look will change.  Though this one feels like it has legs.  March Sun is better than Jan sun.  Enjoy.

Even on cold days this time of the year, the suns warmth can be felt if you wear a dark colored coat and stand with your back to the midday sun.

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3 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The latest couple euro runs show not a single flake of snow for most of Iowa over the next ten days.  We've been the snow epicenter for the last several weeks, but now the script gets inverted.

Yeah I was starting to think MLI had the all-time record snow season in the bag, but things have definitely quieted down.  If we're not going to make a run at the record I'd just assume move on to spring.

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Yeah last week I figured we were almost a lock to get another 15"+ this season.  Not so sure now sense this week isn't going to pan out as I'd hoped and the week after doesn't hold a good hand ATM.

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8 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The latest couple euro runs show not a single flake of snow for most of Iowa over the next ten days.  We've been the snow epicenter for the last several weeks, but now the script gets inverted.

 

4 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Yeah I was starting to think MLI had the all-time record snow season in the bag, but things have definitely quieted down.  If we're not going to make a run at the record I'd just assume move on to spring.

Of course the 18z GFS has a stripe of 30” in 4 days so, ya never know

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Looks like we will be approaching the record lows on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday of -8, -9 and -12 respectively.  As of right now record low maxs seem just out of reach, but the all time record low max for the month of March is 0.

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Watching with interest to see if ORD can drop below 0 on Monday morning (LOT currently forecasting 0).  It's a fairly unusual occurrence for March and even more unusual with little/no snow on the ground.  The last time Chicago got below 0 in March with less than 1" of snowcover was back in 1943.  This particular setup is more advective cold driven than radiational cooling driven, which won't hurt with the lack of snowcover and ORD's difficulty radiating.

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EP/NP spike the 2nd week of March. Mods not getting that right now. Heights are really going to rise after the 8th.

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1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Nice day, made it to 40.  2-3" of ancient crust remains.

Do some core samples so we can understand how to have an epic winter everywhere lol.

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The increasing Sun angle has been evident the last few days. By this evening there was still solid snowcover in the shade, but it was patchy in the sunny spots, and it has not even been super Sunny.  There are actually some parking lots with pretty respectable snow piles.

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The increasing Sun angle has been evident the last few days. By this evening there was still solid snowcover in the shade, but it was patchy in the sunny spots, and it has not even been super Sunny.  There are actually some parking lots with pretty respectable snow piles.

I’ve heard stories of this sun. Is it as bright and as beautiful as I’ve been told?
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15 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

5.6” official total at the airport. Since January 26th which was 35 days ago MSP has received 50” of snow.

From what I can recall you guys were due for a good year

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1 hour ago, King James said:


I’ve heard stories of this sun. Is it as bright and as beautiful as I’ve been told?

lmao. And you are asking someone in Michigan about sun, thats bad:lmao:

 

And actually, it was only sunny off and on yesterday, and cloudy the day before. Again, shows how the solar is really increasing.

 

There are piles in this lot near me I have my eye on. Theres about 5 in this lot like the ones pictured below, they are big right now, but get no shade. Will be interesting to see how long it takes for them to go.

52902801_10111225547634373_6794243327144

 

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Eau Clair WI now at 81.8" snow versus normal to date average of 36. 9". Their average to date seems low for that area though

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3 hours ago, Cary67 said:

From what I can recall you guys were due for a good year

I think portions of Iowa were more due but outside of last March/April it had been a few seasons of well below average snowfall.

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I'll take the 12Z GFS through next weekend and than call it a wrap. Send me 60's after that  than and I'll check in again next Thanksgiving.

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Just another snowy winter, or spring I guess, day here.  Little upper level twist is going to drop maybe 2 or 3".  Watching huge parachutes tumbling down with a mug of hot chocolate.  Living the dream.

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12Z GFS has a gnarly beast of a system for next weekend. Broad, quality warm sector with lapse rates exceeding 8 degrees C/km in parts of Dixie Alley, heavy snow across parts of IL/IA/WI/MI. If it and the other models can keep that general look for a few more runs, it's going to be a fun week. Something to take my mind off how **** cold it's going to be, at least.

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Yeah it does look interesting toward next weekend.  At least one system and maybe 2.  Has a shot to be the best snow potential in several weeks locally.

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Yeah it does look interesting toward next weekend.  At least one system and maybe 2.  Has a shot to be the best snow potential in several weeks locally.

 

Screenshot_20190302-133412_Samsung Internet.jpg

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