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February 10-12, 2019 Storm


WxUSAF
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7 minutes ago, DSF said:

Yeah fair points.

Really what I meant is that a number of events that looked like they would amount to almost nothing actually gave people measureable snow/white roads etc.

Edit: And it's very location dependent...some people got fringed repeatedly.

 

When you get right down to it, I really just wanted to make a pig pun.

true, and i'd be lying if i said i don't like how the radar looks for round 1 even down towards the cities.  would be kinda funny if we overperform on this initial batch.  i think in general we've overperformed on precip for the last 6-9 months, so i don't see why this one won't do the same barring temps.

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37 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

This threat is getting no attention because the DC burbs gang already got a surprise MECS and they are shafted on this one, per the models at least.

100% chance that Clarksburg will get nailed and we will see pics via the webcam while das is in VT.

That was not even a SECS.

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9 minutes ago, Fozz said:

For the immediate DC area, 8-16" is a MECS. Anything more is historic.

Ok - reasonable for the DELMARVA.  What's the threshold for a HECS and BECS?  Propose something on the order of 24"+ is HECS territory and 30"+ is a BECS... Add winds over 30 kts to the mix and drop the thresholds 6" each.  Winds 50kts and over with anything over 12" is a BECS.  Blizzard of 78 in the midwest was definitely a BECS. 

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