MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I know me neither but come on winter isn’t over. There’ll be plenty of snow chances it’s february 2nd for Pete’s sake. Models are good for 5 days tops. Let’s see what they sort out today! I mean it can’t be over I’m jumping! Winter isn't over and yes it can still snow but the guidance looks terrible . Can it change ? Sure and let's hope it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Agree Winter isn't over but the guidance looks terrible for snow. you are kidding me right ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: you are kidding me right ? What are you trying to show me ? The surface doesn't match up to the snow map for the coast. I'm always positive but maybe if I stay negative the pattern will get better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: you are kidding me right ? That shows 2” of snow for the next 10 days. That’s horrible in early February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: That shows 2” of snow for the next 10 days. That’s horrible in earlier February And it doesn't even march up to the surface. We should be tracking mecs and hecs at this point instead of a few inch events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: That shows 2” of snow for the next 10 days. That’s horrible in earlier February 2 inches ? huh ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Just now, NEG NAO said: 2 inches ? huh ???? Yea, central NJ and LI see 2-3”, maybe NW sees 6”, including sleet, at a 10:1 ratio. Not a blockbuster pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: 2 inches ? huh ???? It’s actually impressive how most of New England sees 2-3” over 10 days in the heart of winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Yea, central NJ and LI see 2-3”, maybe NW sees 6”, including sleet, at a 10:1 ratio. Not a blockbuster pattern lets make one thing clear - I am not saying these maps are correct - but they are considered guidance and that's what this discussion is all about - even the euro had some accumulation over the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: lets make one thing clear - I am not saying these maps are correct - but they are considered guidance and that's what this discussion is all about - even the euro had some accumulation over the next 10 days If the models are accurate, Boston will be under 3” of snow on February 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 13 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: you are kidding me right ? The FV3 sucks, horrible model. It’s honestly worse than the old GFS. And that map counts sleet and freezing rain as snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 The para GFS guys? Come on, use the real models for Pete's sake... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: If the models are accurate, Boston will be under 3” of snow on February 14 I looked into the Boston annual snowfall archives that goes back into 1920. If Boston receives no more snow this season, it would be an all time record low by far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: The para GFS guys? Come on, use the real models for Pete's sake... unfortunately thats what your National Weather Service is going to be using very soon - and it is considered guidance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: I looked into the Boston annual snowfall archives that goes back into 1920. If Boston receives no more snow this season, it would be an all time record low by far. I tend too doubt that will be the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I tend too doubt that will be the case they'll get a freak April storm to ruin futility.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 21 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The FV3 sucks, horrible model. It’s honestly worse than the old GFS. And that map counts sleet and freezing rain as snow It has been atrocious 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 35 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The FV3 sucks, horrible model. It’s honestly worse than the old GFS. And that map counts sleet and freezing rain as snow It does not count freezing rain as snow (it does count sleet as snow, though, in that map). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Latest Euro mjo map shows it going into 8 and then possibly 1. That would be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Latest Euro mjo map shows it going into 8 and then possibly 1. That would be great It still meanders long enough in the circle where it could still 180 on us and try to turn back towards 5 or 6. I would say it’s another 5/7 days til we know for sure 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: It still meanders long enough in the circle where it could still 180 on us and try to turn back towards 5 or 6. I would say it’s another 5/7 days til we know for sure Are you saying that in about a weeks time we should have a much better idea of Mid February thru mid March? Based on the Rimm plot(?)going into 8/1/2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Why is the AO going positive now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 2, 2019 Author Share Posted February 2, 2019 Groundhogs say early spring. No reason to doubt them 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Didn't you know that around here winter is only defined only by how much snow you accumulate above your seasonal average ? It's also defined by the amount of useless salt dust in the air.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 I hope it rains soon this salt is horrible. Than it can snow as much as it wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Team Torch seems to be having a good old time with the developments of this "winter". You guys are in all your glory with this ratter, eh? Honestly, I'm ready for Spring. Going to Tampa for a week in early March (when it'll probably snow here) and I'm already there mentally. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 GFS 1st storm misses the major cities to the north and then the 2nd storm hits the Mid Atlantic. Can't make this stuff up 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 15 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I hope it rains soon this salt is horrible. Than it can snow as much as it wants. I’m going to havrpeto grind up pressure meds and additional the fertilizer this year. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Just now, kat5hurricane said: Team Torch seems to be having a good old time with the developments of this "winter". You guys are in all your glory with this ratter, eh? Honestly, I'm ready for Spring. Going to Tampa for a week in early March (when it'll probably snow here) and I'm already there mentally. I want to say it was 1989 when I went to Tampa in March and there was a decent snow storm in NYC. I think Queens and Western LI saw alot more while NYC only got maybe 2-3. Could have been 1988 actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: GFS 1st storm misses the major cities to the north and then the 2nd storm hits the Mid Atlantic. Can't make this stuff up Let's move to Richmond. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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