weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That uncle depiction has to be anafrontal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, Back out to the east again, Waiting for the huggers to come in to verify this is where its going.............lol 31 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Sign me up for that J/K I know you aren't a hugger BZ. I just thought the timing was funny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 MEX snow numbers look good for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: what? 1-3? seems very low unless the BL torches Yeah with the qpf numbers being shown on most globals (even if they are overdone as others have mentioned), it looks like at least the BL will be below freezing for BOS even if it does come back amped up. Thinking good thump and a lot of sleet as of right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: what? 1-3? seems very low unless the BL torches Very wary of how far the ensembles were just yesterday. Will up after we have a chance to see and evaluate full 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The trajectory is W to E though so the UK map is misleading. There’s been a bunch of solutions like it. This the big euro from Sunday. You still get a ton of qpf from the overunning/waa even if the Sfc low at that still frame looks “too far east”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, BombsAway1288 said: Yeah with the qpf numbers being shown on most globals (even if they are overdone as others have mentioned), it looks like at least the BL will be below freezing for BOS even if it does come back amped up. Thinking good thump and a lot of sleet as of right now The BL isn't my concern. Could be a ton of mixing and sleet that will really limit amounts right at Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: The BL isn't my concern. Could be a ton of mixing and sleet that will really limit amounts right at Logan. Right at Logan would argue you think BL is a concern? Sleet is independent of how close to the coast your are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right at Logan would argue you think BL is a concern? Sleet is independent of how close to the coast your are. Yeah, if the mid-levels are going to torch at Logan they’re going to torch in a lot of surrounding areas. This isn’t the usual marginal temperature issue/having trouble accumulating at the coast type of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right at Logan would argue you think BL is a concern? Sleet is independent of how close to the coast your are. The time period when Logan would actually accum at the beginning of the storm. I'm concerned that could be more sleet than snow. Those mid levels are torch central despite lower levels being supportive of a wet paste before switch to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 gefs not as amped as the op. The mean takes stc low over NJ then inside BM with a little kick E as it gets off NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: The time period when Logan would actually accum at the beginning of the storm. I'm concerned that could be more sleet than snow. Those mid levels are torch central despite lower levels being supportive of a wet paste before switch to rain The warmest model today (GFS) gives BOS 3-6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: That uncle depiction has to be anafrontal Forky mentioned something about that yesterday i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: The warmest model today (GFS) gives BOS 3-6+ Yes the GFS gives CHH 4"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gefs not as amped as the op. The mean takes stc low over NJ then inside BM with a little kick E as it gets off NJ coast. It's getting the squeeze play east as it slams into the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: It's getting the squeeze play east as it slams into the cold. I ran those last two panels from my basement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I ran those last two panels from my basement. Did you have one free hand available to check on your weenie? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Did you have one free hand available to check on your weenie? I had a firm handle on the hole situation. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 51 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: There's a massive lack of consensus here. Low confidence in any particular model. Taking a peek at the overall look, I'd have 1-3" at BOS for now, with small chances of reaching 3-6" territory. We'd need massive changes, Miami Dolphins style miracle, for anything different. 1-3" for Boston is too light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's getting the squeeze play east as it slams into the cold. Yea, a faster or slower timing will make a big difference. But I think we are seeing timing on our side....improve since last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ya , let’s alide this SE another few hundred miles in 96 hours . For jimmy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1-3" for Boston is too light. the way this year has been going i wouldn't be surprised if it ended up being a 1-3 deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I'll enjoy my rainstorms. In Nashua? What a stupid comment. I have already said that the suppressed trend was over...its like 5-10" ending as some sleet/ice. Same as it ever was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: In Nashua? What a stupid comment. I have already said that the suppressed trend was over...its like 5-10" ending as some sleet/ice. Same as it ever was. He's in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, correnjim1 said: the way this year has been going i wouldn't be surprised if it ended up being a 1-3 deal The way this decade has been going, I wouldn't be surprised if ended up a HECS. #flawedlogic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: He's in NJ Well, he needs to change his sig...couldn't care less what happens there. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The way this decade has been going, I wouldn't be surprised if ended up a HECS. #flawedlogic you have a point there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's getting the squeeze play east as it slams into the cold. That has quite the icy look here in CT....yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Same as it ever was. And you may ask yourself... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, he needs to change his sig...couldn't care less what happens there. But he is right.................... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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