Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Not liking this look...could get ugly for someone in southern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah... I can see what you might think that... heh. can't say no frankly. The "model" may try - we're not saying reality will do so... Having said that, I haven't posted those words or to the affect because just bringing up the subsuming of the Euro's last three runs should sufficiently imply - I "only" went 8-14" north of the pike in my first call blog post, but explicitly hedged at much greater potential when detailing this trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Mr. Windcredible! said: Not liking this look...could get ugly for someone in southern CT I buy that in narrow swath through that general area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM actually looks reasonable, never thought I would say that. Makes sense to me overall. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ICON is well south looks like UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, I'm thinking of leaving it until monday morning here, I'm suppose to go to a party but doesn't look like that's going to happen, I'm not missing the game, And i have no one coming over, So i may just leave it alone. Same here, especially since Monday is a holiday - snoblo in daylight after the storm is over. (Could backfire if this one is a big overperformer that dumps more than the machine can eat in one pass, but that would be a win, too.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, WxBlue said: I'm planning on hibernating at my place with lot of junk food for these championship games. I'm a Rams fan so you can imagine my excitement for this Sunday... I just hope this storm doesn't mess with the power (I don't think it will). That game should be a shootout Saints-Rams, Pats-KC, The weather may have an affect and keep scoring down some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I buy that in narrow swath through that general area. That is like an inch of freezing rain!!! Hoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Same here, especially since Monday is a holiday - snoblo in daylight after the storm is over. (Could backfire if this one is a big overperformer that dumps more than the machine can eat in one pass, but that would be a win, too.) MY JD loves the snow..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I kind of feel as though the EURO maybe trying to pull of a late-bloom blizzard. Would it need to redevelop the mid-level lows to the south of you in order to do that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: That game should be a shootout Saints-Rams, Pats-KC, The weather may have an affect and keep scoring down some. Starting 2/1-crown is back. Dry January. Good to watch in a warm house and hopefully we don’t trend to zr around here so I can keep power... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Starting 2/1-crown is back. Dry January. Good to watch in a warm house and hopefully we don’t trend to zr around here so I can keep power... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Would it need to redevelop the mid-level lows to the south of you in order to do that? Thats basically what it is trying to do on some of these runs. Like an elongated anafrontal development of the midlevels. I'm still somewhat skeptical of it actually panning out like that but it is not out of the envelope of solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Would it need to redevelop the mid-level lows to the south of you in order to do that? Yea, I haven't looked closely enough to see how close it is RE mid level centers, but I will obviously before final call. The H5 low def. trended south of us yesterday. Obviously odds are against it, which is why I didn't go 1-2' in the first call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I haven't looked closely enough to see how close it is RE mid level centers, I will obviously before final call. But the H5 low def. trended south of us yesterday. Obviously odds are against it, which is why I didn't go 1-2" in the first call. Well, ICON shows the back-end blizzard in aces and spades, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 12z ICON is very snowy for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, TheCloser24 said: 12z ICON is very snowy for SNE. It's pretty much all snow at BOS. In the UKMET camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: That game should be a shootout Saints-Rams, Pats-KC, The weather may have an affect and keep scoring down some. Currently, KC forecast is 24 on Sunday, 18 Sunday night, no mention of strong winds in their AFD, so much like last Sunday. Wx shouldn't be an issue there for either team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, TheCloser24 said: 12z ICON is very snowy for SNE. Too bad it's the ICON. I would lock that in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Where are you guys viewing your ICON? I see no 850 temps on TT and I think the ptype maps are counting sleet as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: Currently, KC forecast is 24 on Sunday, 18 Sunday night, no mention of strong winds in their AFD, so much like last Sunday. Wx shouldn't be an issue there for either team. Several days ago it had temps in the single numbers falling to below zero at end of game. Sure warmed up significantly out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Well, ICON shows the back-end blizzard in aces and spades, lol! Where in Trumbull? Im off Churchill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Where are you guys viewing your ICON? I see no 850 temps on TT and I think the ptype maps are counting sleet as snow. I subscribe to weather models, Maue's new site, the 850mb barely tickle the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 That ICON evolution is amazing looking ... It has the IB snow burst ... terminating as steady ZR/IP (implicit...) south of the pike, with on-gong lighter snow N of that rough longitude... Then, a new low deepens rather rapidly I of NJ and we see CCB blossom from a NYC/LI to SE NH arc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, wxeyeNH said: Several days ago it had temps in the single numbers falling to below zero at end of game. Sure warmed up significantly out there The storm system won't be as deep as it moves through my part of the world...in fact, it's likely to be an open wave. The upshot of that is not as much cold air on the backside. Temp guidance for Sunday has warmed 20-25 degrees since Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Where are you guys viewing your ICON? I see no 850 temps on TT and I think the ptype maps are counting sleet as snow. I think it's the other way... The model is counting IP/ZR as rain S of the transition zone along Rt 2... i don't think this synoptic evolution supports liquid in interior Massachusetts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I'm watching the GFS at 500mb... We'll see how this transpires this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, tamarack said: Currently, KC forecast is 24 on Sunday, 18 Sunday night, no mention of strong winds in their AFD, so much like last Sunday. Wx shouldn't be an issue there for either team. They were pimping single digits earlier in the week there, I havn't looked but that's meh as far as NE standards go for temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Where are you guys viewing your ICON? I see no 850 temps on TT and I think the ptype maps are counting sleet as snow. Probably from a circle jerk deep in the bowel's of James' basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The early frames of this gfs run suggest to me it might be a little north of 6z on the GFS. Tough to tell for sure yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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